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Ambiguity Without a State Space

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Author Info
DAVID S. AHN
Abstract

Many decisions involve both imprecise probabilities and intractable states of the world. Objective expected utility assumes unambiguous probabilities; subjective expected utility assumes a completely specified state space. This paper analyses a third domain of preference: sets of consequential lotteries. Using this domain, we develop a theory of objective ambiguity without explicit reference to any state space. We characterize a representation that integrates a non-linear transformation of first-order expected utility with respect to a second-order measure. The concavity of the transformation and the weighting of the measure capture ambiguity aversion. We propose a definition for comparative ambiguity aversion. Copyright 2008 The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2007.00473.x
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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of Economic Studies.

Volume (Year): 75 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (01)
Pages: 3-28
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Handle: RePEc:bla:restud:v:75:y:2008:i:1:p:3-28

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  1. Halevy, Yoram & Ozdenoren, Emre, 2008. "Uncertainty and Compound Lotteries: Calibration," Micro Theory Working Papers yoram_halevy-2008-7, Microeconomics.ca Website, revised 17 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
  2. Marie-Louise Vierø, 2009. "Exactly what happens after the Anscombe–Aumann race?," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 175-212, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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