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Bandwagons and Momentum in Sequential Voting

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Author Info
STEVEN CALLANDER

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Abstract

In this paper I show that an equilibrium exists to the sequential voting game in which a bandwagon begins with probability 1. These bandwagons are driven by a combination of beliefs and the desire of voters to vote for the winning candidate. Significantly, in this equilibrium the pivot probability for each voter is non-zero, even in an infinite population. Consequently, the bandwagons do not always start after one (or at most two) favourable decisions (as do economic cascades) and varying levels of informative voting are observed, consistent with observations from sequential voting in U.S. presidential primaries. Further, voters are exposed to counterintuitive incentives, referred to as "buyers' remorse", that have been attributed to real primary voters. Copyright 2007 The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2007.00441.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of Economic Studies.

Volume (Year): 74 (2007)
Issue (Month): 3 (07)
Pages: 653-684
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Handle: RePEc:bla:restud:v:74:y:2007:i:3:p:653-684

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  1. Brian Knight & Nathan Schiff, 2007. "Momentum and Social Learning in Presidential Primaries," NBER Working Papers 13637, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ali, S. Nageeb & Goeree, Jacob K. & Kartik, Navin & Palfrey, Thomas R., . "Information aggregation in standing and ad hoc committees (formerly: Information aggregation and equilibrium selection in committees)," Working Papers 1280, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences. [Downloadable!]
  3. Esteban F. Klory & Eyal Winter, 2006. "On Public Opinion Polls and Voters' Turnout," Levine's Working Paper Archive 321307000000000451, David K. Levine. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Marco Battaglini & Rebecca Morton & Thomas R. Palfrey, 2006. "Efficiency, Equity, and Timing in Voting Mechanisms," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000205, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Matias Iaryczower, 2008. "Strategic Voting in Sequential Committees," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000002394, David K. Levine. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Sugato Dasgupta & Kirk Randazzo & Reginald Sheehan & Kenneth Williams, 2008. "Coordinated voting in sequential and simultaneous elections: some experimental evidence," Experimental Economics, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 315-335, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Li, Ming & Majumdar, Dipjyoti, 2006. "A psychologically-based model of voter turnout," MPRA Paper 10719, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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