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Asymmetric Cycles

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BOYAN JOVANOVIC

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Abstract

I estimate a model in which new technology entails random adjustment needs. Rapid adjustments may cause measured productivity to decline. The slow-downs persist because adjustment is costly, and hence protracted. The model explains both the "steepness" and the "deepness" asymmetry of cycles. Adjustment costs amount to about 14% of output and technological inefficiency to about 28%. Firms abandon technologies long before they are perfected-current practice total factor productivity (TFP) is 20% below its maximal level. Copyright 2006 The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2006.00372.x
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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of Economic Studies.

Volume (Year): 73 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (01)
Pages: 145-162
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Handle: RePEc:bla:restud:v:73:y:2006:i:1:p:145-162

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References listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
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  1. Olaf Posch & Klaus Wälde, 2006. "Natural volatility, welfare and taxation," Working Papers 2007_33, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Andrea Bassanini & Giorgio Brunello, 2007. "Barriers to Entry, Deregulation and Workplace Training," IZA Discussion Papers 2746, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  3. Gadi Barlevy, 2005. "The cost of business cycles and the benefits of stabilization," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Q I, pages 32-49. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones & Eswar Prasad, 2004. "How do trade and financial integration affect the relationship between growth and volatility?," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jun. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Romain Ranciere & Aaron Tornell & Frank Westermann, 2004. "Crises and Growth: A Re-Evaluation," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. McKay, Alisdair & Reis, Ricardo, 2006. "The Brevity and Violence of Contractions and Expansions," CEPR Discussion Papers 5756, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Aaron Tornell, 2003. "Crises and Growth: A Re-evaluation (September 2003)," UCLA Economics Online Papers 264, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  8. Boyan Jovanovic, 2007. "Investment Options and the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 13307, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Gadi Barlevy, 2004. "The Cost of Business Cycles and the Benefits of Stabilization: A Survey," NBER Working Papers 10926, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Beatriz de-Blas-Pérez, 2004. "Can Financial Frictions Help Explain The Performance Of The Us Fed?," Economics Working Papers we044517, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía. [Downloadable!]
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  12. João Ejarque & Ana Balcão Reis, 2003. "More Lessons from Taking an AK Model to the Data," Discussion Papers 03-37, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  13. João Ejarque & Ana Balcão Reis, 2003. "The Poverty of Linear Nations: Lessons from Taking an AK Model to the Data," Discussion Papers 03-06, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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