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Money and Prices Under Uncertainty

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Author Info
Tomoyuki Nakajima
Herakles Polemarchakis

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Abstract

We study whether monetary economies display nominal indeterminacy: equivalently, whether monetary policy determines the path of prices under uncertainty. In a simple, stochastic, cash-in-advance economy, we find that indeterminacy arises and is characterized by the initial price level and a probability measure associated with state-contingent nominal bonds: equivalently, monetary policy determines an average, but not the distribution of inflation across realizations of uncertainty. The result does not derive from the stability of the deterministic steady state and is not affected essentially by price stickiness. Nominal indeterminacy may affect real allocations in cases we identify. Our characterization applies to stochastic monetary models in general, and it permits a unified treatment of the determinants of paths of inflation. Copyright The Review of Economic Studies Limited, 2005.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/0034-6527.00330
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of Economic Studies.

Volume (Year): 72 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (01)
Pages: 223-246
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Handle: RePEc:bla:restud:v:72:y:2005:i:1:p:223-246

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  1. Bernardino Adão & Isabel Correia & Pedro Teles, 2004. "Monetary policy with single instrument feedback rules," Working Paper Series WP-04-30, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. G. Bloise & J.H. Dreze & H.M. Polemarchakis, 2002. "Money and Indeterminacy Over an Infinite Horizon," Working Papers 2002-12, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Jinhui H. Bai & Ingolf Schwarz, 2005. "Monetary Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy with Incomplete Financial Markets," JEPS Working Papers 05-005, JEPS. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Charles A.E. Goodhart & Pojanart Sunirand & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2003. "A Model to Analyse Financial Fragility," OFRC Working Papers Series 2003fe13, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Bernardino Adão & Isabel Correia & Pedro Teles, 2004. "Monetary policy with state contingent interest rates," Working Paper Series WP-04-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Tomoyuki Nakajima & Herakles Polemarchakis, 2002. "Monetary Equilibria with Monopolistic Competition and Sticky Prices," Working Papers 2002-25, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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