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A Simulation Estimator for Dynamic Models of Discrete Choice

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Author Info
Hotz, V Joseph
Robert A. Miller
Seth Sanders
Jeffrey Smith

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Abstract

This paper analyzes a new estimator for the structural parameters of dynamic models of discrete choice. Based on an inversion theorem due to V. J. Hotz and R. Miller (1993), which establishes the existence of a one-to-one mapping between the conditional valuation functions for the dynamic problem and their associated conditional choice probabilities, the authors exploit simulation techniques to estimate models that do not possess terminal states. Drawing on work in empirical process theory by A. Pakes and D. Pollard (1989), they establish its large sample properties and conduct a Monte Carlo study of J. Rust's (1987) model of bus engine replacement to compare its small sample properties with those of maximum likelihood. Copyright 1994 by The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of Economic Studies.

Volume (Year): 61 (1994)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 265-89
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Handle: RePEc:bla:restud:v:61:y:1994:i:2:p:265-89

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  1. Rocío Sánchez-Mangas, 2001. "Estimation Of A Dynamic Discrete Choice Model Of Irreversible Investment," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws015628, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
  2. Allan Collard-Wexler, 2006. "Demand Fluctuations and Plant Turnover in the Ready-Mix Concrete Industry," Working Papers 06-25, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Rocío Sánchez-Mangas, 2002. "Another Look At The Estimation Of Dynamic Programming Models With Censored Decision Variables," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws022404, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
  4. Yingyao Hu & Matthew Shum, 2007. "Nonparametric Identification of Dynamic Models with Unobserved State Variables," Economics Working Paper Archive 543, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Michael P. Keane & Kenneth I. Wolpin, 1994. "The solution and estimation of discrete choice dynamic programming models by simulation and interpolation: Monte Carlo evidence," Staff Report 181, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Victor Aguirregabiria & Pedro mira, 2007. "Dynamic Discrete Choice Structural Models: A Survey," Working Papers tecipa-297, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  7. Allan Collard-Wexler, 2006. "Plant Turnover and Demand Fluctuations in the Ready-Mix Concrete Industry," Working Papers 06-08, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau. [Downloadable!]
  8. Patrick Bajari & C. Lanier Benkard & Jonathan Levin, 2004. "Estimating Dynamic Models of Imperfect Competition," NBER Working Papers 10450, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. V. Joseph Hotz & Lixin Xu & Marta Tienda & Avner Ahituv, 1999. "Are There Returns to the Wages of Young Men from Working While in School?," JCPR Working Papers 101, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Han Hong & Matthew Shum, 2000. "A Semiparametric Estimator for Dynamic Optimization Models," Economics Working Paper Archive 461, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics, revised Nov 2001. [Downloadable!]
  11. Victor Aguirregabiria & Pedro Mira, 2000. "Structural Models Involving Highly Dimensional Fixed Point Problems: An Asymptotically Efficient Two-Stage Estimator," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1702, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  12. Susumu Imai & Neelam Jain & Andrew Ching, 2006. "Bayesian Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models," Working Papers 1118, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Victor Aguirregabiria & Pedro Mira, 2005. "A Genetic Algorithm for the Structural Estimation of Games with Multiple Equilibria," Econometrics 0502017, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  14. Victor Aguirregabiria & Pedro Mira, 2004. "Sequential Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Games," Industrial Organization 0406006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  15. V. Aguirregabir, 1996. "Estimation of Dynamic Decision Models with Corner Solutions: A Model of Price and Inventory Decisions," Econometrics 9603002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  16. María José Moral Rincón, 1998. "La retirada de automóviles en España: Un aplicación de modelos de duración," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 22(2), pages 225-258, May. [Downloadable!]
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