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Stochastic Devaluation Risk and the Empirical Fit of Target-Zone Models Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Bertola, Giuseppe
Svensson, Lars E O
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A time-varying stochastic devaluation risk is introduced in a model of exchange rate target zones. The model produces realistic patterns of covariation between exchange rates and interest rate differentials, which previous target zone models have been unable to do. A 'drift adjustment' method to estimate devaluation expectations from data is suggested. Copyright 1993 by The Review of Economic Studies Limited.
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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of Economic Studies .
Volume (Year): 60 (1993)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 689-712
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Handle: RePEc:bla:restud:v:60:y:1993:i:3:p:689-712Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0034-6527
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Keywords: Other versions of this item:
Paper Giuseppe Bertola & Lars E.O. Svensson, 1991.
"Stochastic Devaluation Risk and the Empirical Fit of Target Zone Models ,"
NBER Working Papers
3576, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Bertola, G. & Svensson, L.E., 1990.
"Stochastic Devaluation Risk and the Empirical Fit of Target Zone Models ,"
Papers
481, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
Bertola, Giuseppe & Svensson, Lars E O, 1991.
"Stochastic Devaluation Risk and the Empirical Fit of Target Zone Models ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
513, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Bertola, Giuseppe & Caballero, Ricardo, 1990.
"Target Zones and Realignments ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
398, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Bertola, G. & Cabarello, R.J., 1990.
"Target Zones And Realignments ,"
Discussion Papers
1990_51, Columbia University, Department of Economics.
Bertola, Giuseppe & Caballero, Ricardo J, 1992.
"Target Zones and Realignments ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 82(3), pages 520-36, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Krugman, Paul R, 1991.
"Target Zones and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 106(3), pages 669-82, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Delgado, F. & Dumas, B., 1990.
"Monetary Contracting Between Central Banks And The Design Of Sustainable Exchange-Rate Zones ,"
Weiss Center Working Papers
20-90, Wharton School - Weiss Center for International Financial Research.
W. R. M. Perraudin, 1990.
"Exchange Rate Bands with Point Process Fundamentals ,"
IMF Working Papers
90/108, International Monetary Fund.
Miller, Marcus & Weller, Paul, 1989.
"Exchange Rate Bands and Realignments in a Stationary Stochastic Setting ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
299, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Robert P. Flood & Andrew K. Rose & Donald J. Mathieson, 1990.
"Is the EMS the perfect fix? An empirical exploration of exchange rate target zones ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
388, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Francisco Delgado & Bernard Dumas, 1990.
"Monetary Contracting Between Central Banks and the Design of SustainableExchange-Rate Zones ,"
NBER Working Papers
3440, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Froot, Kenneth & Obstfeld, Maurice, 1991.
"Exchange Rate Dynamics Under Stochastic Regime Shifts: A Unified Approach ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
522, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Kenneth A. Froot & Maurice Obstfeld, 1992.
"Exchange Rate Dynamics Under Stochastic Regime Shifts: A Unified Approach ,"
NBER Working Papers
2835, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Froot, Kenneth A. & Obstfeld, Maurice, 1991.
"Exchange-rate dynamics under stochastic regime shifts : A unified approach ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 31(3-4), pages 203-229, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Francisco Delgado & Bernard Dumas, .
"Monetary Contracting between Central Banks and the Design of Sustainable Exchange-Rate Zones (Reprint 035) ,"
Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers
20-90, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
Meese, Richard A & Rose, Andrew K, 1990.
"Nonlinear, Nonparametric, Nonessential Exchange Rate Estimation ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 192-96, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Klein, Michael W., 1992.
"Big effects of small interventions: The informational role of intervention in exchange rate policy ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 915-924, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Bertola, Giuseppe & Caballero, Ricardo, 1991.
"Sustainable Intervention Policies and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
504, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Delgado, F. & Dumas, B., 1990.
"Monetary Contracting Between Central Banks And The Design Of Sustainable Exchange-Rate Zones ,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
360, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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