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Exchange Rate Rules, Black Market Premia and Fiscal Deficits: The Bolivian Hyperinflation

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Author Info
Kharas, Homi
Pinto, Brian
Abstract

With dual exchange rates, where a managed official exchange rate coexists with a floating black market rate, a given budget deficit may be consistent with many different inflation rates rather than two, which is the normal result in closed economy systems. Further, all these inflation equilibria are saddle-point stable. A policy of adjusting the official exchange rate towards the black market rate may cause the economy to converge to a high-inflation, saddle-point stable equilibrium where money inflation elasticity exceeds unity. The analytics are motivated and illustrated by the Bolivian hyperinflation of 1984-85. Copyright 1989 by The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of Economic Studies.

Volume (Year): 56 (1989)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 435-47
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Handle: RePEc:bla:restud:v:56:y:1989:i:3:p:435-47

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  1. Linda S. Goldberg & Il'dar Karimov, 1992. "Black-Markets for Currency, Hoarding Activity and Currency Reform," NBER Working Papers 4153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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