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The Impact of Homeowners' Housing Wealth Misestimation on Consumption and Saving Decisions

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Author Info
Sumit Agarwal
Abstract

Using a unique data set of 81,943 house value estimates by the homeowners and their financial institution, I find that homeowners overestimate their house value by 3.1%. After controlling for homeowners' socioeconomic characteristics, I find that ex ante homeowners who rate (cash-out) refinance an existing loan to increase savings (consumption) are significantly more likely to underestimate (overestimate) their house value. Moreover, overestimators (underestimators) are more likely to increase (reduce) their spending ex post. Finally, I also find that underestimators are more likely to prepay their loans and overestimators are more likely to default on their loans. Copyright 2007 American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association

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Article provided by American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association in its journal Real Estate Economics.

Volume (Year): 35 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 (06)
Pages: 135-154
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Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:35:y:2007:i:2:p:135-154

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  1. Hugo Benítez-Silva & Selcuk Eren & Frank Heiland & Sergi Jiménez-Martín, 2008. "How Well do Individuals Predict the Selling Prices of their Homes?," Economics Working Papers 1065, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2008. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-9-29.


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