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Determinants of Cross‐Sectional Variation in Discount Rates, Growth Rates and Exit Cap Rates

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  • Åke Gunnelin
  • Patric H. Hendershott
  • Martin Hoesli
  • Bo Söderberg

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of key input variables in valuers' discounted cash flow models used for estimating market values for offices. Data from 599 valuations in 2000 from Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmö are used to explain variation in discount rates, expected growth rates in net operating income and exit cap rates. Our ability to explain the relatively wide variation in appraisal assumptions with plausible covariates generates confidence in the appraisal process. This has important implications because most value and returns indices of commercial real estate worldwide are appraisal based.

Suggested Citation

  • Åke Gunnelin & Patric H. Hendershott & Martin Hoesli & Bo Söderberg, 2004. "Determinants of Cross‐Sectional Variation in Discount Rates, Growth Rates and Exit Cap Rates," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 32(2), pages 217-237, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:32:y:2004:i:2:p:217-237
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1080-8620.2004.00090.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Chun-Chang Lee & Hsueh-Ling Fan, 2016. "The Impact of Administrative Characteristics and Residential Types on Income Capitalization Rates in Taipei, Taiwan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(10), pages 602-619, October.
    2. Peter Öhman & Bo Söderberg & Ola Uhlin, 2011. "Accuracy of Swedish property appraisers’ forecasts of net operating income," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 103-122, November.
    3. Alain Chaney & Martin Hoesli, 2015. "Transaction-Based and Appraisal-Based Capitalization Rate Determinants," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 18(1), pages 1-43.
    4. Martin Hoesli & Elion Jani & André Bender, 2005. "Monte Carlo Simulations for Real Estate Valuation," FAME Research Paper Series rp148, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R33 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets

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