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The Behavior of Real Interest Rates in Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization Programs

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Agenor, Pierre-Richard

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Abstract

This paper examines the behavior of real interest rates at the inception of exchange-rate-based stabilization programs. The analysis is based on an optimizing model of a small open economy facing imperfect world capital markets. A reduction in the devaluation rate is shown to have a positive impact on real interest rates. By contrast, a program characterized by an initial reduction in the devaluation rate and a perceived future increase in government spending has an ambiguous effect--which depends in particular on the degree of credibility of the fiscal policy stance. Copyright 1998 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Review of Development Economics.

Volume (Year): 2 (1998)
Issue (Month): 3 (October)
Pages: 231-49
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Handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:2:y:1998:i:3:p:231-49

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  1. Sergio Rebelo & Carlos A. Vegh, 1995. "Real Effects of Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization: An Analysis of Competing Theories," NBER Working Papers 5197, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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