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Analysing Systemic Risk in the Chinese Banking System

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  • Qiubin Huang
  • Jakob De Haan
  • Bert Scholtens

Abstract

We examine systemic risk in the Chinese banking system by estimating the conditional value at risk (CoVaR), the marginal expected shortfall (MES), the systemic impact index (SII) and the vulnerability index (VI) for 16 listed banks in China for the 2007–2014 period. We find that these measures show different patterns, capturing different aspects of systemic risk of Chinese banks. However, rankings of banks based on these measures are significantly correlated. The time‐series results for the CoVaR and MES measures suggest that systemic risk in the Chinese banking system decreased after the global financial crisis but started rising in 2014.

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  • Qiubin Huang & Jakob De Haan & Bert Scholtens, 2019. "Analysing Systemic Risk in the Chinese Banking System," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 348-372, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:pacecr:v:24:y:2019:i:2:p:348-372
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12212
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    2. Pham, Thach N. & Powell, Robert & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2021. "Systemically important banks in Asian emerging markets: Evidence from four systemic risk measures," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
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    4. Wang, Gang-Jin & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Lin, Min & Xie, Chi & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2018. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk of China's financial institutions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-18.
    5. Han Miao, 2017. "Twin Peaks Regulation After the Global Financial Crisis: A Reform Model for China?," Asian Journal of Law and Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(3), pages 1-30, December.
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    7. Huang, qhuang, 2020. "Executive compensation and risk-taking of Chinese banks," MPRA Paper 100377, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Apr 2020.
    8. Omid Farkhondeh Rouz & Hossein Sohrabi Vafa & Arash Sioofy Khoojine & Sajjad Pashay Amiri, 2024. "Interconnectedness of systemic risk in the Chinese economy: the Granger causality and CISS indicator approach," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(2), pages 1-24, May.
    9. Alexey Vasilenko, 2018. "Systemic Risk and Financial Fragility in the Chinese Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model Approach," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps30, Bank of Russia.
    10. Zhiwei Zhang & Dayong Zhang & Fei Wu & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Systemic risk in the Chinese financial system: A copula‐based network approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2044-2063, April.
    11. Baumöhl, Eduard & Bouri, Elie & Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Výrost, Tomáš, 2022. "Measuring systemic risk in the global banking sector: A cross-quantilogram network approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    12. Bellavite Pellegrini, Carlo & Cincinelli, Peter & Meoli, Michele & Urga, Giovanni, 2022. "The contribution of (shadow) banks and real estate to systemic risk in China," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    13. Hirofumi Fukuyama & Yong Tan, 2022. "Deconstructing three‐stage overall efficiency into input, output and stability efficiency components with consideration of market power and loan loss provision: An application to Chinese banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 953-974, January.
    14. Elisabeth Paulet & Hareesh Mavoori, 2019. "Globalization, regulation and profitability of banks: a comparative analysis of Europe, United States, India and China," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 16(2), pages 127-170, December.
    15. Zhang, Xingmin & Fu, Qiang & Lu, Liping & Wang, Qingyu & Zhang, Shuai, 2021. "Bank liquidity creation, network contagion and systemic risk: Evidence from Chinese listed banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    16. Huang, Qiubin, 2020. "Ownership concentration and bank profitability in China," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    17. Das, Sanjiv R. & Kalimipalli, Madhu & Nayak, Subhankar, 2022. "Banking networks, systemic risk, and the credit cycle in emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    18. Haizhen Yang & Xiangjuan Cheng & Qiubin Huang & Qiao Wang, 2019. "Systemic Risk in the Chinese Stock Market Under Different Regimes: A Sector-Level Perspective," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(6), pages 665-679, June.
    19. Nguyen, Hoai Thi Thanh & Tram, Huong Thi Xuan & Nguyen, Linh Thi Thuy, 2023. "Interest rates and systemic risk:Evidence from the Vietnamese economy," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    20. Yufei Cao, 2021. "Measuring systemic risk and dependence structure between real estates and banking sectors in China using a CoVaR‐copula method," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5930-5947, October.
    21. Tonmoy Choudhury & Simone Scagnelli & Jaime Yong & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2021. "Non-Traditional Systemic Risk Contagion within the Chinese Banking Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-16, July.
    22. Baumöhl, Eduard & Bouri, Elie & Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Výrost, Tomáš, 2020. "Increasing systemic risk during the Covid-19 pandemic: A cross-quantilogram analysis of the banking sector," EconStor Preprints 222580, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    23. Beylem Çelik & Gökhan Özer & Abdullah Kürşat Merter, 2023. "The Effect of Ownership Structure on Financial Reporting Timeliness: An Implementation on Borsa Istanbul," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, November.

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    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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