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Assessing The Impact Of China'S Wto Accession On Investment

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Author Info
Terrie L. Walmsley
Thomas W. Hertel
Elena Ianchovichina

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Abstract

After a boom in foreign direct investment (FDI) in China in the early 1990s, FDI slowed in the late 1990s. More recently, with China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) a reality, FDI has once again picked up. This paper explores the linkage between WTO accession and investment in China. We find that investment and capital stocks increase substantially. Moreover, foreign ownership of Chinese assets doubles by 2020. Central to this increase is the expected catch-up in the productivity of the services sectors driven by reforms. These estimates are far larger than those predicted by earlier studies, which ignored the reforms affecting Chinese services sectors, and abstracted from international capital mobility. Copyright 2006 Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-0106.2006.00318.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Pacific Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 11 (2006)
Issue (Month): 3 (October)
Pages: 315-339
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Handle: RePEc:bla:pacecr:v:11:y:2006:i:3:p:315-339

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  1. Yinhua Mai & Philip Adams & Mingtai Fan & Ronglin Li & Zhaoyang Zheng, 2005. "Modelling the Potential Benefits of an Australia-China free Trade Agreement," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-153, Monash University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hertel, Thomas W. & Winters, L. Alan, 2005. "Poverty impacts of a WTO agreement : synthesis and overview," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3757, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Anna Strutt and Allan N. Rae, 2008. "Assessing the impacts of prefenertial trade agreements in the Asian and Pacific region," Publication STUDIES IN TRADE AND INVESTMENT, in: Mia Mikic (ed.), Emerging Trade Issues for Policymakers in Developing Countries in Asia and the Pacific, chapter 9 Trade Policy Section, Trade and Investment Division, UNESCAP. [Downloadable!]
  4. Thomas W. Hertel, 2006. "A Survey of Findings on the Poverty Impacts of Agricultural Trade Liberalization," The Electronic Journal of Agricultural and Development Economics, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, vol. 3(1), pages 1-26. [Downloadable!]
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