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Abstract

This paper investigates the short and long-term determinants of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets' volatility. Since GCC countries are major suppliers of oil in world energy markets, their stock markets are likely to be susceptible to change in oil prices. Given that change in oil prices influence observable factors in GCC economies, we show in this paper that unobservable speculative factors drive short term stock market returns. The influence of oil price change on GCC stock markets returns is evidenced in the long-term. -super-1 Long term is defined here as the period of time required for the effect of oil price changes to work out its way to influence major macroeconomic indicators that influence profitability of firms traded in GCC stock markets. Copyright 2007 Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-0076.2007.00182.x
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in its journal OPEC Review.

Volume (Year): 31 (2007)
Issue (Month): 3 (09)
Pages: 171-189

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Handle: RePEc:bla:opecrv:v:31:y:2007:i:3:p:171-189

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Cited by:

1. Roengchai Tansuchat & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Conditional Correlations and Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-706, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
   
   • Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2011. "Conditional Correlations and Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns," Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico 2011-34, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
   • Roengchai Tansuchat & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Conditional Correlations and Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns," Working Papers in Economics 10/04, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
   • Roengchai Tansuchat & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Conditional Correlations and Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns," CARF F-Series CARF-F-202, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
   • Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Roengchai Tansuchat, 2010. "Conditional Correlations and Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns," KIER Working Papers 715, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
   • Tansuchat, R. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Conditional Correlations and Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns," Econometric Institute Report EI 2010-12, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
2. Balli, Faruk & Basher, Syed Abul & Jean Louis, Rosmy, 2013. "Sectoral equity returns and portfolio diversification opportunities across the GCC region," MPRA Paper 43687, University Library of Munich, Germany.
3. Tahsin Saadi Sedik & Oral Williams, 2011. "Global and Regional Spillovers to GCC Equity Markets," IMF Working Papers 11/138, International Monetary Fund.

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