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Inference of Seasonal Cointegration: Gaussian Reduced Rank Estimation and Tests for Various Types of Cointegration

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Author Info
Sung K. Ahn
Sinsup Cho
B. Chan Seong
Abstract

An extension of Gaussian reduced rank estimation of Ahn and Reinsel ("Journal of Econometrics", Vol. 62, pp. 317-350, 1994) to seasonal periods other than four is presented. Simple adjustments for estimation that are necessary because of complex-valued seasonal unit roots are presented in detail and the asymptotic distribution of the estimators that takes the same form as that in Ahn and Reinsel (1994) is derived. Tests for contemporaneous cointegration and common polynomial cointegrating vectors (PCIVs) for different seasonal unit roots are presented. Finite sample properties are briefly examined through a small Monte Carlo simulation study and a numerical example is presented to illustrate the methods. Copyright 2004 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Oxford in its journal Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 66 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (05)
Pages: 261-284
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Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:66:y:2004:i:2:p:261-284

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  1. Philip Kostov & John Lingard, 2005. "Seasonally specific model analysis of UK cereals prices," Econometrics 0507014, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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