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Credibility, Interest Rates and the ERM: The Irish Experience

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Author Info
Walsh, Brendan
Abstract

This paper examines the effects on short-term interest rates of stabilizing the Irish pound in the exchange rate mechanism of the European Monetary System since 1986. It is shown that Irish interest rates came increasingly under the influence of German rates but British rates continued to exert a significant influence. Moreover, the markets viewed the Irish commitment to the exchange rate mechanism as contingent on a sustainable exchange rate against sterling. The markets viewed Ireland's exchange rate mechanism peg as unsustainable after the devaluation of sterling in September 1992. Copyright 1993 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Oxford in its journal Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 55 (1993)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 439-52
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Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:55:y:1993:i:4:p:439-52

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  1. Massimo Guidolin & Stuart Hyde, 2008. "Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability and comovements: evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK," Working Papers 2008-005, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  2. Francisco Ledesma-Rodriguez & Manuel Navarro-Ibanez & Jorge Perez-Rodriguez & Simon Sosvilla-Rivero, 2000. "On the Credibility of the Irish Pound in the EMS," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 31(2), pages 151-172. [Downloadable!]
  3. Massimo Guidolin & Stuart Hyde, 2007. "What tames the Celtic tiger? portfolio implications from a multivariate Markov switching model," Working Papers 2006-029, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Francisco Ledesma-Rodríguez & Manuel Navarro-Ibáñez & Jorge Pérez-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, . "Assensing the Credibility of the Irish Pound in the European Monetary System," Working Papers 2000-14, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
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