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Market Participation and Share Prices

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  • Gerhard O. Orosel

Abstract

Share prices are analyzed in an overlapping generations model in which the generational size is random. This models stochastic fluctuations of market participants and can explain noninformational volatility of share prices. There exists a (stochastic) stationary equilibrium, which may be nonunique. In equilibrium, (a) the share price increases and (b) expected utility decreases with the generational size. A decline of this size below a critical level induces a crash: the stock price falls substantially, shares are undervalued, and investors’ demand is restricted by illiquidity. Further, the model predicts the empirically observed positive correlation between volume of trade and absolute price changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerhard O. Orosel, 1997. "Market Participation and Share Prices," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(4), pages 375-398, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:mathfi:v:7:y:1997:i:4:p:375-398
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9965.00037
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    Cited by:

    1. Phillip McKnight & Anthony Lowrie & Chris Coles, 2002. "Investor Reactions, Social Implications and Layoff Announcements in the UK: A Comparison between Periods," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 6(1), pages 83-100, March.
    2. Wioletta Nawrot, 2006. "Wpływ popytu na akcje notowane na Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych w Warszawie na płynność rynku," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 7-8, pages 59-81.

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