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Savings-Investment Correlations: Transitory versus Permanent

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  • Sarno, Lucio
  • Taylor, Mark P

Abstract

In this paper, the authors investigate the difference between the short-run and the long-run savings-investment correlation coefficient, in order to shed light both on the validity of the Feldstein-Horioka regression as a means of measuring the degree of capital mobility and on its implications. Using quarterly U.K. data, they also examine the effectiveness of the abolition of exchange control which, in October 1979, ended a long period of restrictions on capital flows between the United Kingdom and the international economy. The authors find that, consistent with the logical implication of the Feldstein-Horioka regression, the short-run correlation is significantly higher than the long-run correlation. In contrast with much of the literature employing the Feldstein-Horioka interpretation, however, the results suggest that the United Kingdom is highly financially integrated with the global economy post 1979. Copyright 1998 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester

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  • Sarno, Lucio & Taylor, Mark P, 1998. "Savings-Investment Correlations: Transitory versus Permanent," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 66(0), pages 17-38, Supplemen.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:manch2:v:66:y:1998:i:0:p:17-38
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    1. De Vita, Glauco & Abbott, Andrew, 2002. "Are saving and investment cointegrated? An ARDL bounds testing approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 293-299, October.
    2. Jun‐Hyung Ko & Yoshito Funashima, 2019. "On the Sources of the Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle across Time and Frequencies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(4), pages 889-910, August.
    3. Qizilbash, M., 1995. "Egalitarian justice, capability and well-being prospects," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9516, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    4. Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021. "50 Years of Capital Mobility in the Eurozone: Breaking the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 867-905, November.
    5. Andrew J. Abbott & Glauco De Vita, 2003. "Another Piece in the Feldstein — Horioka Puzzle," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 50(1), pages 69-89, February.
    6. Fairburn, James A. & Malcomson, James M., 1994. "Rewarding performance by promotion to a different job," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 683-690, April.
    7. Albert H. De Wet & Reneé Van Eyden, 2005. "Capital Mobility In Sub‐Saharan Africa: A Panel Data Approach," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 73(1), pages 22-35, March.
    8. Chu, Kam Hon, 2012. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and Spurious Ratio Correlation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 292-309.
    9. Jerry Coakley & Ana‐Maria Fuertes & Fabio Spagnolo, 2004. "Is the Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle History?," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 72(5), pages 569-590, September.
    10. Rustam Jamilov, 2013. "J-Curve Dynamics and the Marshall–Lerner Condition: Evidence from Azerbaijan," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 19(3), pages 313-323, February.
    11. Singh, Tarlok, 2010. "Does domestic saving cause economic growth? A time-series evidence from India," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 231-253, March.
    12. Hoffmann, Mathias, 2004. "International capital mobility in the long run and the short run: can we still learn from saving-investment data?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 113-131, February.
    13. Chakrabarti, Avik, 2006. "The saving-investment relationship revisited: New evidence from multivariate heterogeneous panel cointegration analyses," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 402-419, June.
    14. Apergis, Nicholas & Tsoumas, Chris, 2009. "A survey of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: What has been done and where we stand," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 64-76, June.
    15. Tarlok Singh, 2022. "Economic growth and the state of poverty in India: sectoral and provincial perspectives," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1251-1302, August.
    16. Hoffmann, M., 1999. "The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle and a new measure of international capital mobility," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9916, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    17. Gibbens, R. & Mason, R. & Steinberg, R., 1998. "Multiproduct competition between congestible networks," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9816, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    18. Tarlok Singh, 2007. "Intertemporal Optimizing Models Of Trade And Current Account Balance: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(1), pages 25-64, February.
    19. Mariam Camarero & Juan Sapena & Cecilio Tamarit, 2018. "FH Puzzle in the Eurozone: A time-varying analysis Preliminary Draft," Working Papers 1813, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    20. Driffill, J. & Sola, M., 1992. "Testing the present value hypothesis from a vector autoregression with stochastic regime switching," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9216, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    21. Singh, Tarlok, 2008. "Testing the Saving-Investment correlations in India: An evidence from single-equation and system estimators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 1064-1079, September.
    22. Ulph, A. & Ulph, D., 1994. "Trade, strategic innovation and strategic environmental policy: a general analysis," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9416, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    23. Halonen, M. & Williams, I., 1997. "Incomplete contracts, vertical integration and product market competition," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9716, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    24. Shabbir Ahmad, 2017. "Investment and Saving Relationship in South Asia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 726-729.
    25. Seyi Saint Akadiri & Itodo Idoko Ahmed & Ojonugwa Usman & Medhi Seraj, 2016. "The Feldstein - Horioka Paradox, A Case Study of Turkey," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(12), pages 744-749, December.

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