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Two Views on Institutions and Development: The Grand Transition vs the Primacy of Institutions

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Author Info
Martin Paldam
Erich Gundlach

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Abstract

The Grand Transition (GT) view claims that economic development is causal to institutional development, and that many institutional changes can be understood as transitions occurring at roughly the same level (zone) of development. The Primacy of Institutions (PoI) view claims that economic development is a consequence of an exogenous selection of institutions. Our survey of the empirical evidence and our own estimates reveal that it is easy to find convincing evidence supporting either of the two views. Property rights do affect development as suggested by the PoI view. However, democracy is mainly an effect of development as suggested by the GT view. We conclude that the empirical results are far too mixed to allow for a robust assessment that one of the two views is true and the other false. This finding implies that focusing on institutional development is unlikely to be successful as the key strategy for the economic development of poor countries. Copyright 2008 Blackwell Publishing Ltd..

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/links/doi/10.1111/j.1467-6435.2008.00393.x
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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Kyklos.

Volume (Year): 61 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (02)
Pages: 65-100
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Handle: RePEc:bla:kyklos:v:61:y:2008:i:1:p:65-100

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  3. Mankiw, N Gregory & Romer, David & Weil, David N, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-37, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Kai Carstensen & Erich Gundlach, 2006. "The Primacy of Institutions Reconsidered: Direct Income Effects of Malaria Prevalence," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 20(3), pages 309-339.
  5. Mark Bils & Peter J. Klenow, 2000. "Does Schooling Cause Growth?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1160-1183, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Mauro, Paolo, 1995. "Corruption and Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 110(3), pages 681-712, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson & James A. Robinson, 2001. "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1369-1401, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Francesco Busato & Enrico Marchetti, 2006. "Skills, sunspots and cycles," Economics Working Papers 2006-07, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Gundlach, E & Rudman, D & Wossmann, L, 2002. "Second Thoughts on Development Accounting," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 34(11), pages 1359-69, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Baumol, William J, 1986. "Productivity Growth, Convergence, and Welfare: What the Long-run Data Show," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(5), pages 1072-85, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Treisman, Daniel, 2000. "The causes of corruption: a cross-national study," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 399-457, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Thorsten Drautzburg & Inna Melnykovska & Rainer Schweickert, 2008. "Which Membership Matters? External vs. Internal Determinants of Institutional Change in Transition Countries," Kiel Working Papers 1421, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ansgar Belke & Ingo Bordon & Inna Melnykovska & Rainer Schweickert, 2009. "Prospective Membership and Institutional Change in Transition Countries," Kiel Working Papers 1562, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
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