This paper puts forward a time-series methodology for quantifying the impact that terrorist incidents have had on net foreign direct investment. For Spain, a transfer function is used for quantification purposes, while, for Greece, a VAR model is employed. Terrorism had a significant and persistent negative impact on net foreign direct investment--a year's worth of terrorism discouraged net foreign direct investment by 13.5 percent annually in Spain and by 11.9 percent annually in Greece. The cumulative effect on foreign-held capital is indicated. It shows that smaller countries that face a persistent threat of terrorism may incur economic costs in the form of reduced investment and growth. Copyright 1996 by WWZ and Helbing & Lichtenhahn Verlag AG
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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Kyklos.
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Krug, B. & Reinmoeller, P., 2003.
"The Hidden Cost of Ubiquity: Globalisation and Terrorism,"
Research Paper
ERS-2003-062-ORG Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni.
[Downloadable!]
Tim Krieger & Daniel Meierrieks, 2008.
"What causes terrorism?,"
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12, University of Paderborn, CIE Center for International Economics.
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Bruno S. Frey & Simon Luechinger, .
"Measuring Terrorism,"
IEW - Working Papers
iewwp171, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW.
[Downloadable!]
Alberto Abadíe & Javier Gardeazábal, 2005.
"Terrorism and the World Economy,"
DFAEII Working Papers
200519, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
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