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Cycles and Substitutions in Terrorist Activities: A Spectral Approach

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Author Info
Im, Eric Iksoon
Cauley, Jon
Sandler, Todd

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Abstract

This paper uses spectral analysis to provide evidence that cycles have characterized the following time series: all ter rorist events, skyjackings, kidnappings, barricade and hostage taking and all events not involving hostages. The series for all events ha d a periodicity of 28 months, while skyjackings had two significant p eriodicities-4.1 months and 28 months. Only a single significant pero dicity was associated with barricade and hostage events and kidnappin gs-72 months and 48 months, respectively. Cross-spectral tests sugges t that terrorists substitute between related events (e.g., kidnapping s and skyjackings); but this substitution primarily showed up in the short run. Copyright 1987 by WWZ and Helbing & Lichtenhahn Verlag AG

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Kyklos.

Volume (Year): 40 (1987)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 238-55
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Handle: RePEc:bla:kyklos:v:40:y:1987:i:2:p:238-55

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  1. Bruno S. Frey & Simon Luechinger, . "Terrorism: Deterrence May Backfire," IEW - Working Papers iewwp136, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
  2. Bruno S. Frey & Simon Luechinger, . "Measuring Terrorism," IEW - Working Papers iewwp171, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
  3. Muhammad Islam & Wassim Shahin, 2001. "Applying economic methodology to the war on terrorism," Forum for Social Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 7-26, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-2.

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