Cycles and Substitutions in Terrorist Activities: A Spectral Approach
AbstractThis paper uses spectral analysis to provide evidence that cycles have characterized the following time series: all ter rorist events, skyjackings, kidnappings, barricade and hostage taking and all events not involving hostages. The series for all events ha d a periodicity of 28 months, while skyjackings had two significant p eriodicities-4.1 months and 28 months. Only a single significant pero dicity was associated with barricade and hostage events and kidnappin gs-72 months and 48 months, respectively. Cross-spectral tests sugges t that terrorists substitute between related events (e.g., kidnapping s and skyjackings); but this substitution primarily showed up in the short run. Copyright 1987 by WWZ and Helbing & Lichtenhahn Verlag AG
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Wiley Blackwell in its journal Kyklos.
Volume (Year): 40 (1987)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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- Bruno S. Frey & Simon Luechinger & Alois Stutzer, 2007.
"Calculating Tragedy: Assessing The Costs Of Terrorism,"
Journal of Economic Surveys,
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- Muhammad Islam & Wassim Shahin, 2001. "Applying economic methodology to the war on terrorism," Forum for Social Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 7-26, September.
- Brandt, Patrick T. & Sandler, Todd, 2009. "Hostage taking: Understanding terrorism event dynamics," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 758-778, September.
- Das, Satya P., 2008. "Some mechanisms of terror cycles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 67(3-4), pages 644-656, September.
- Bruno S. Frey & Simon Luechinger, . "Measuring Terrorism," IEW - Working Papers 171, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
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