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Non‐parametric estimation of population size from capture–recapture data when the capture probability depends on a covariate

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  • Richard Huggins
  • Wen‐Han Hwang

Abstract

Summary. In capture–recapture experiments the capture probabilities may depend on individual covariates such as an individual's weight or age. Typically this dependence is modelled through simple parametric functions of the covariates. Here we first demonstrate that misspecification of the model can produce biased estimates and subsequently develop a non‐parametric procedure to estimate the functional relationship between the probability of capture and a single covariate. This estimator is then incorporated in a Horvitz–Thompson estimator to estimate the size of the population. The resulting estimators are evaluated in a simulation study and applied to a data set on captures of the Mountain Pygmy Possum.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard Huggins & Wen‐Han Hwang, 2007. "Non‐parametric estimation of population size from capture–recapture data when the capture probability depends on a covariate," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 56(4), pages 429-443, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssc:v:56:y:2007:i:4:p:429-443
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2007.00585.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richard M. Huggins & Paul S. F. Yip, 1999. "Estimation of the Size of an Open Population from Capture-Recapture Data Using Weighted Martingale Methods," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 387-395, June.
    2. Kenneth Pollock, 2002. "The use of auxiliary variables in capture-recapture modelling: An overview," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1-4), pages 85-102.
    3. Shirley Pledger, 2000. "Unified Maximum Likelihood Estimates for Closed Capture–Recapture Models Using Mixtures," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 56(2), pages 434-442, June.
    4. Wen-Han Hwang & Richard Huggins, 2005. "An examination of the effect of heterogeneity on the estimation of population size using capture-recapture data," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 92(1), pages 229-233, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yang Liu & Yukun Liu & Yan Fan & Han Geng, 2018. "Likelihood ratio confidence interval for the abundance under binomial detectability models," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(5), pages 549-568, July.
    2. Yee, Thomas W. & Stoklosa, Jakub & Huggins, Richard M., 2015. "The VGAM Package for Capture-Recapture Data Using the Conditional Likelihood," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 65(i05).
    3. Jakub Stoklosa & Wen-Han Hwang & Sheng-Hai Wu & Richard Huggins, 2011. "Heterogeneous Capture–Recapture Models with Covariates: A Partial Likelihood Approach for Closed Populations," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 67(4), pages 1659-1665, December.
    4. Stoklosa, Jakub & Huggins, Richard M., 2012. "A robust P-spline approach to closed population capture–recapture models with time dependence and heterogeneity," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 408-417.

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