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Confidence intervals for secondary parameters following a sequential test

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  • John Whitehead
  • Susan Todd
  • W. J. Hall

Abstract

In sequential studies, formal interim analyses are usually restricted to a consideration of a single null hypothesis concerning a single parameter of interest. Valid frequentist methods of hypothesis testing and of point and interval estimation for the primary parameter have already been devised for use at the end of such a study. However, the completed data set may warrant a more detailed analysis, involving the estimation of parameters corresponding to effects that were not used to determine when to stop, and yet correlated with those that were. This paper describes methods for setting confidence intervals for secondary parameters in a way which provides the correct coverage probability in repeated frequentist realizations of the sequential design used. The method assumes that information accumulates on the primary and secondary parameters at proportional rates. This requirement will be valid in many potential applications, but only in limited situations in survival analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • John Whitehead & Susan Todd & W. J. Hall, 2000. "Confidence intervals for secondary parameters following a sequential test," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 62(4), pages 731-745.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:62:y:2000:i:4:p:731-745
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9868.00260
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