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An econometric analysis of dividends and share repurchases by US firms

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  • Alok Bhargava

Abstract

The paper analyses longitudinal Compustat data on dividend payments and share repurchases of over 2000 US industrial firms by using 2‐yearly averages for the period 1992–2007. First, dynamic auto‐regressive models for dividends and share repurchases were estimated by maximum likelihood to yield consistent and efficient estimates. Second, because firms pay dividends at different rates, comprehensive dynamic and static random‐effects models for dividends were estimated. Third, models were estimated for share repurchases and the interrelationships between dividends and repurchases were investigated, tackling endogeneity issues. The results showed that dividend decisions are likely to precede those regarding share repurchases, and higher dividend payments decreased the magnitudes of repurchases; the effects of repurchases on dividends were generally insignificant.

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  • Alok Bhargava, 2010. "An econometric analysis of dividends and share repurchases by US firms," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 173(3), pages 631-656, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:173:y:2010:i:3:p:631-656
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2010.00644.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alok Bhargava & J. D. Sargan, 2006. "Estimating Dynamic Random Effects Models From Panel Data Covering Short Time Periods," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Econometrics, Statistics And Computational Approaches In Food And Health Sciences, chapter 1, pages 3-27, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    7. Brav, Alon & Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R. & Michaely, Roni, 2005. "Payout policy in the 21st century," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 483-527, September.
    8. Alok Bhargava, 2006. "Identification and Panel Data Models with Endogenous Regressors," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Econometrics, Statistics And Computational Approaches In Food And Health Sciences, chapter 3, pages 49-60, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Richard A. Kronmal, 1993. "Spurious Correlation and the Fallacy of the Ratio Standard Revisited," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 156(3), pages 379-392, May.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Leila Davis & Shane McCormack, 2021. "Industrial stagnation and the financialization of nonfinancial corporations," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 459-491, December.
    3. von Eije, Henk & Goyal, Abhinav & Muckley, Cal B., 2014. "Does the information content of payout initiations and omissions influence firm risks?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(2), pages 222-229.
    4. Bhargava, Alok, 2014. "Firms’ fundamentals, macroeconomic variables and quarterly stock prices in the US," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(2), pages 241-250.
    5. Driver, Ciaran & Grosman, Anna & Scaramozzino, Pasquale, 2020. "Dividend policy and investor pressure," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 559-576.
    6. Grosman, Anna & Amore, Mario Daniele, 2021. "Share Repurchases and Board Independence," MPRA Paper 109811, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Onali, Enrico & Ginesti, Gianluca, 2015. "Sins of Omission in Value Relevance Empirical Studies," MPRA Paper 64265, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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