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Are football referees really biased and inconsistent?: evidence on the incidence of disciplinary sanction in the English Premier League

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Author Info
Peter Dawson
Stephen Dobson
John Goddard
John Wilson

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Abstract

The paper presents a statistical analysis of patterns in the incidence of disciplinary sanction (yellow and red cards) that were taken against players in the English Premier League over the period 1996-2003. Several questions concerning sources of inconsistency and bias in refereeing standards are examined. Evidence is found to support a time consistency hypothesis, that the average incidence of disciplinary sanction is predominantly stable over time. However, a refereeing consistency hypothesis, that the incidence of disciplinary sanction does not vary between referees, is rejected. The tendency for away teams to incur more disciplinary points than home teams cannot be attributed to the home advantage effect on match results and appears to be due to a refereeing bias favouring the home team. Copyright 2007 Royal Statistical Society.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2006.00451.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Royal Statistical Society in its journal Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society).

Volume (Year): 170 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 231-250
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:170:y:2007:i:1:p:231-250

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0964-1998

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  1. Roberto Antonietti, 2008. "Il ruolo economico dell’arbitro di calcio: una rassegna della letteratura e alcune questioni aperte," Rivista di Diritto ed Economia dello Sport, Centro di diritto e business dello Sport, vol. 4(3), pages 75-103, Dicembre. [Downloadable!]
  2. Stephen Dobson & John Goddard, 2008. "Strategic behaviour and risk taking in football," Working Papers 2008/7, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham Business School, Economics Division. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Seckin, Aylin & Pollard, Richard, 2007. "Home advantage in Turkish professional soccer," MPRA Paper 14323, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2008. [Downloadable!]
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