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Modeling the Term Structure from the On-the-Run Treasury Yield Curve

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  • Mansi, Sattar A
  • Phillips, Jeffrey H
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    Abstract

    We propose a new model to estimate the term structure of interest rates using observed on-the-run Treasury yields. The new model is an improvement over models that require a priori knowledge of the shape of the yield curve to estimate the term structure. The general form of the model is an exponential function that depends on the estimation of four parameters fit by nonlinear least squares and has straightforward interpretations. In comparing the proposed model with current yield curve smoothing models, we find that, for the data used, the proposed model does best overall in terms of pricing accuracy both in-sample and out-of-sample.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Southern Finance Association & Southwestern Finance Association in its journal Journal of Financial Research.

    Volume (Year): 24 (2001)
    Issue (Month): 4 (Winter)
    Pages: 545-64

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    Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:24:y:2001:i:4:p:545-64

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    Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0270-2592
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    Web page: http://www.southwesternfinance.org/
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    Cited by:
    1. Leo Krippner, 2003. "Modelling the Yield Curve with Orthonormalised Laguerre Polynomials: A Consistent Cross-Sectional and Inter-Temporal Approach," Working Papers in Economics 03/02, University of Waikato, Department of Economics.
    2. Jordan, James V. & Mansi, Sattar A., 2003. "Term structure estimation from on-the-run Treasuries," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(8), pages 1487-1509, August.
    3. Leo Krippner, 2003. "Modelling the Yield Curve with Orthonomalised Laguerre Polynomials: An Intertemporally Consistent Approach with an Economic Interpretation," Working Papers in Economics 03/01, University of Waikato, Department of Economics.
    4. Emma Berenguer-Carceles & Ricardo Gimeno & Juan M. Nave, 2012. "Estimation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Methodology and Applications," Working Papers 12.06, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Financial Economics and Accounting (former Department of Business Administration).

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