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Does Net Buying Pressure Affect the Shape of Implied Volatility Functions?

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Author Info
Nicolas P. B. Bollen (Owen Graduate School of Management, Vanderbilt University and Fuqua School of Business, Duke University)
Robert E. Whaley (Owen Graduate School of Management, Vanderbilt University and Fuqua School of Business, Duke University)
Abstract

This paper examines the relation between net buying pressure and the shape of the implied volatility function (IVF) for index and individual stock options. We find that changes in implied volatility are directly related to net buying pressure from public order flow. We also find that changes in implied volatility of S&P 500 options are most strongly affected by buying pressure for index puts, while changes in implied volatility of stock options are dominated by call option demand. Simulated delta-neutral option-writing trading strategies generate abnormal returns that match the deviations of the IVFs above realized historical return volatilities. Copyright 2004 by The American Finance Association.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 59 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (04)
Pages: 711-753
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:2:p:711-753

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  1. Andrew Carverhill & Terry Cheuk & Sigurd Dyrting, 2009. "The smirk in the S&P500 futures options prices: a linearized factor analysis," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 109-139, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Jens Carsten Jackwerth & George M. Constantinaides & Stylianos Perrakis, 2005. "Mispricing of S&P 500 Index Options," CoFE Discussion Paper 05-09, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Constantinides, George M. & Jackwerth, Jens Carsten & Perrakis, Stylianos, 2007. "Option Pricing: Real and Risk-Neutral Distributions," MPRA Paper 11637, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Nagarajan, Thirukumaran & Malipeddi, Koteswararao, 2009. "Effects of market sentiment in index option pricing: a study of CNX NIFTY index option," MPRA Paper 17943, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  5. Broadie, Mark & Chernov, Mikhail & Johannes, Michael, 2007. "Understanding Index Option Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 6239, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Nicolae Garleanu & Lasse Heje Pedersen & Allen M. Poteshman, 2005. "Demand-Based Option Pricing," NBER Working Papers 11843, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Stulz, Rene M., 2004. "Should We Fear Derivatives?," Working Paper Series 2004-5, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  8. Urcola, Hernan A. & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Has the Performance of the Hog Options Market Changed?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21479, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
  9. Xavier Gabaix & Arvind Krishnamurthy & Olivier Vigneron, 2005. "Limits of Arbitrage: Theory and Evidence from the Mortgage-Backed Securities Market," NBER Working Papers 11851, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Francesco Audrino & Dominik Colagelo, 2007. "Forecasting Implied Volatility Surfaces," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2007 2007-42, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen. [Downloadable!]
  11. Li, Minqiang, 2008. "Price Deviations of S&P 500 Index Options from the Black-Scholes Formula Follow a Simple Pattern," MPRA Paper 11530, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  12. Eva Ferreira & Mónica Gago & Angel León & Gonzalo Rubio, 2005. "An empirical comparison of the performance of alternative option pricing models," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 29(3), pages 483-523, September. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Nicholas Barberis & Ming Huang, 2007. "Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices," NBER Working Papers 12936, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Luca Benzoni & Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Robert S. Goldstein, 2005. "Can Standard Preferences Explain the Prices of out of the Money S&P 500 Put Options," NBER Working Papers 11861, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Marie Brière & Alexandre Burgues & Ombretta Signori, 2008. "Volatility Exposure for Strategic Asset Allocation," Working Papers CEB 08-034.RS, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim (CEB). [Downloadable!]
  16. Reinhold Hafner & Martin Wallmeier, 2008. "Optimal investments in volatility," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 147-167, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Rene M. Stulz, 2004. "Should We Fear Derivatives?," NBER Working Papers 10574, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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