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Dividend Changes and Future Profitability

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Author Info
Doron Nissim
Abstract

We investigate the relation between dividend changes and future profitability, measured in terms of either future earnings or future abnormal earnings. Supporting "the information content of dividends hypothesis," we find that dividend changes provide information about the level of profitability in subsequent years, incremental to market and accounting data. We also document that dividend changes are positively related to earnings changes in each of the two years after the dividend change. Copyright The American Finance Association 2001.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 56 (2001)
Issue (Month): 6 (December)
Pages: 2111-2133
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:56:y:2001:i:6:p:2111-2133

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  1. Manuel Ammann & Ralf Seiz & Martin Zulauf, 2006. "Nennwertrückzahlungen am Schweizer Aktienmarkt und ihre Auswirkungen auf den Unternehmenswert," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 142(IV), pages 447–477, December. [Downloadable!]
  2. Joos, Peter & Plesko, George, 2004. "Costly Dividend Signaling: The Case of Loss Firms with Negative Cash Flows," Working papers Costly Dividend Signaling, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management. [Downloadable!]
  3. Aaro Hazak, 2006. "Dividend Decision under Distributed Profit Taxation: Investor’s Perspective," Working Papers 145, School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
  4. Louis Cheng & Hung-Gay Fung & Tak Leung, 2007. "Information effects of dividends: Evidence from the Hong Kong market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 23-54, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Henryk Gurgul & Paweł Majdosz & Roland Mestel, 2006. "Implications of Dividend Announcements for the Stock Prices and Trading Volumes of DAX Companies (in English)," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 56(1-2), pages 58-68, January. [Downloadable!]
  6. Neves, Elisabete & Pindado, Julio & Torre, Chabela de la, 2006. "Dividends: New evidence on the catering theory," Documentos de Trabajo "Nuevas Tendencias en Dirección de Empresas". Working Papers "New Trends on Business Administration". 2006-14, Interuniversitary Doctorate Program "New Trends on Business Administration", Universities of Valladolid, Burgos and Salamanca (Spain). Programa de Doctorado Interuniversitario "Nuevas Tendencias en Di. [Downloadable!]
  7. Gow-Cheng Huang & Kartono Liano & Ming-Shiun Pan, 2006. "Do stock splits signal future profitability?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 347-367, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Renneboog, L.D.R. & Trojanowski, Grzegorz, 2005. "Patterns in payout policy and payout channel choice of UK firms in the 1990s," Discussion Paper 22, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Sanning, Lee W. & Shaffer, Sherrill & Sharratt, Jo Marie, 2007. "Alternative investments: the case of wine," Working Papers 37322, American Association of Wine Economists. [Downloadable!]
  10. Christi Wann & D. Long, 2009. "Do liquidity induced changes in aggregate dividends signal aggregate future earnings growth?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 1-12, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Braggion, F. & Moore, L., 2008. "Dividend Policies in an Unregulated Market: The London Stock Exchange 1895-1905," Discussion Paper 2008-83, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  12. Bogdan Stacescu, 2006. "Dividend Policy in Switzerland," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 153-183, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Arturo, Ramirez Verdugo, 2004. "Dividend Signaling and Unions," MPRA Paper 2273, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Oct 2006. [Downloadable!]
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