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Do Credit Spreads Reflect Stationary Leverage Ratios?

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Author Info
Pierre Collin-Dufresne
Abstract

Most structural models of default preclude the firm from altering its capital structure. In practice, firms adjust outstanding debt levels in response to changes in firm value, thus generating mean-reverting leverage ratios. We propose a structural model of default with stochastic interest rates that captures this mean reversion. Our model generates credit spreads that are larger for low-leverage firms, and less sensitive to changes in firm value, both of which are more consistent with empirical findings than predictions of extant models. Further, the term structure of credit spreads can be upward sloping for speculative-grade debt, consistent with recent empirical findings. Copyright The American Finance Association 2001.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 56 (2001)
Issue (Month): 5 (October)
Pages: 1929-1957
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:56:y:2001:i:5:p:1929-1957

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  2. Rohan Churm & Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, . "Decomposing credit spreads," Bank of England working papers 253, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  3. Howard Qi & Sheen Liu & Chunchi Wu, 2009. "On the calibration of structural credit spread models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 189-208, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Tang, Dragon Yongjun & Yan, Hong, 2008. "Market conditions, default risk and credit spreads," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2008,08, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  5. Hong Liu & Jianjun Miao, 2006. "Managerial Preferences, Corporate Governance, and Financial Structure," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-020, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. C. F. Lo & T. C. Wong & C. H. Hui & M. X. Huang, 2008. "Assessing Credit Risk of Companies with Mean-Reverting Leverage Ratios," Working Papers 042008, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
  7. Acharya, Viral V & Carpenter, Jennifer, 2002. "Corporate Bond Valuation and Hedging with Stochastic Interest Rates and Endogenous Bankruptcy," CEPR Discussion Papers 3328, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Gunter Löffler & Alina Maurer, 2009. "Incorporating the Dynamics of Leverage into Default Prediction," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2009-024, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  9. Abel Elizalde, 2006. "Credit Risk Models Ii: Structural Models," Working Papers wp2006_0606, CEMFI. [Downloadable!]
  10. Bertram Düring, 2008. "Asset Pricing Under Information with Stochastic Volatility," CoFE Discussion Paper 08-04, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Jing-zhi Huang & Hao Zhou, 2008. "Specification analysis of structural credit risk models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-55, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  12. Jun Yang, 2008. "Macroeconomic Determinants of the Term Structure of Corporate Spreads," Working Papers 08-29, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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