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Order Flow, Transaction Clock, and Normality of Asset Returns

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Author Info
Thierry Ané (University Paris Dauphine,)
Hélyette Geman (ESSEC Graduate Business School and the University Paris Dauphine)
Abstract

The goal of this paper is to show that normality of asset returns can be recovered through a stochastic time change. Clark (1973) addressed this issue by representing the price process as a subordinated process with volume as the lognormally distributed subordinator. We extend Clark's results and find the following: (i) stochastic time changes are mathematically much less constraining than subordinators; (ii) the cumulative number of trades is a better stochastic clock than the volume for generating virtually perfect normality in returns; (iii) this clock can be modeled nonparametrically, allowing both the time-change and price processes to take the form of jump diffusions. Copyright The American Finance Association 2000.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 55 (2000)
Issue (Month): 5 (October)
Pages: 2259-2284
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:55:y:2000:i:5:p:2259-2284

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  1. Anthony Murphy & Marwan Izzeldin, 2006. "Order flow transaction clock and normality of asset returns: A comment on Ané and Geman (2000)," Working Papers 003090, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. A. Christian Silva & Ju-Yi J. Yen, 2008. "Stochastic resonance and the trade arrival rate of stocks," Quantitative Finance Papers 0807.0925, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  3. Roel C.A. Oomen, 2004. "Statistical Models for High Frequency Security Prices," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 77, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  4. Dingan Feng & Peter X.-K. Song & Tony S. Wirjanto, 2008. "Time-Deformation Modeling Of Stock Returns Directed By Duration Processes," Working Papers 08010, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Per Houmann Frederiksen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "Continuous-Time Models, Realized Volatilities, and Testable Distributional Implications for Daily Stock Returns," CREATES Research Papers 2007-21, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2002. "Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 02-27, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Fiorani, Filo, 2004. "Option Pricing Under the Variance Gamma Process," MPRA Paper 15395, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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