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Long-Term Market Overreaction: The Effect of Low-Priced Stocks

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  • Loughran, Tim
  • Ritter, Jay R

Abstract

Conrad and Kaul (1993) report that most of De Bondt and Thaler's (1985) long-term overreaction findings can be attributed to a combination of bid-ask effects when monthly cumulative average returns (CARs) are used, and price, rather than prior returns. In direct tests, we find little difference in test-period returns whether CARs or buy-and-hold returns are used, and that price has little predictive ability in cross-sectional regressions. The difference in findings between this study and Conrad and Kaul's is primarily due to their statistical methodology. They confound cross-sectional patterns and aggregate time-series mean reversion, and introduce a survivor bias. Their procedures increase the influence of price at the expense of prior returns. Copyright 1996 by American Finance Association.

Suggested Citation

  • Loughran, Tim & Ritter, Jay R, 1996. "Long-Term Market Overreaction: The Effect of Low-Priced Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1959-1970, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:51:y:1996:i:5:p:1959-70
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