Non-fundamental Speculation

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Non-fundamental Speculation

Author Info

Madrigal, Vicente

Abstract

The author studies an intertemporal asset market where insiders coexist with 'nonfundamental' speculators. Nonfundamental speculators possess no private information on fundamental values of assets but have superior knowledge about some aspect of the market environment. The author shows that the entry of these (rational) speculators can lead to reductions in market liquidity and in the information content of prices, even in an efficient market. Also, equilibrium trades display patterns of empirical interest. For example, speculators appear to chase trends and lose money after market 'overreactions,' while insiders trade as contrarians and profit after such overreactions. Copyright 1996 by American Finance Association.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 51 (1996)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 553-78
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:51:y:1996:i:2:p:553-78

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Takatosh Ito & Richard K. Lyons & Michael T. Melvin, 1997. "Is there private information in the FX market? the Tokyo experiment," Pacific Basin Working Paper Series 97-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Takatoshi Ito & Richard K. Lyons & Michael T. Melvin, 1996. "Is There Private Information in the FX Market? The Tokyo Experiment," Working Papers _005, University of California at Berkeley, Haas School of Business. [Downloadable!]
- Takatoshi Ito & Richard K. Lyons & Michael T. Melvin, 1997. "Is There Private Information in the FX Market? The Tokyo Experiment," NBER Working Papers 5936, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Ito, T. & Lyons, R. & Melvin, M.T., 1997. "Is There Private Information on the FX Market? The Tokyo Experiment," Papers 97-04, Economisch Institut voor het Midden en Kleinbedrijf-.
- Takatoshi Ito Richard K. Lyons and Michael T. Melvin., 1997. "Is There Private Information in the FX Market? The Tokyo Experiment," Research Program in Finance Working Papers RPF-270, University of California at Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
- Takatoshi Ito & Richard K. Lyons & Michael T. Melvin, 1998. "Is There Private Information in the FX Market? The Tokyo Experiment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 53(3), pages 1111-1130, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Albert J. Menkveld & Asani Sarkar & Michel van der Wel, 2007. "Macro News, Riskfree Rates, and the Intermediary," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-086/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
Lasse H. Pedersen & Markus Brunnermeier, 2004. "Predatory Trading," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 425, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2004. "Predatory Trading," NBER Working Papers 10755, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Markus K Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pederson, 2003. "Predatory Trading," FMG Discussion Papers dp441, Financial Markets Group. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Brunnermeier, Markus K & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2004. "Predatory Trading," CEPR Discussion Papers 4639, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2005. "Predatory Trading," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(4), pages 1825-1863, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Albert J. Menkveld & Asani Sarkar & Michel van der Wel, 2007. "Macro news, risk-free rates, and the intermediary: customer orders for thirty-year Treasury futures," Staff Reports 307, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
Sugato Chakravarty & Asani Sarkar, 1997. "Can competition between brokers mitigate agency conflicts with their customers?," Research Paper 9705, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Sugato Chakravarty & Asani Sarkar, 1997. "Can competition between brokers mitigate agency conflicts with their customers?," Staff Reports 25, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
Fang Cai, 2003. "Was there front running during the LTCM crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 758, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]

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