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The Effect of Money Shocks on Interest Rates in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity

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  • Grier, Kevin B
  • Perry, Mark J

Abstract

Most current empirical work finds no evidence that money shocks lower interest rates. The authors show that these nonresults are mainly due to a failure to model the conditional heteroskedasticity of interest rates. Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasiticity (ARCH) models find a significant liquidity effect where ordinary least squares (OLS) models do not. The existence of a liquidity effect is found using different models and sample periods when ARCH models are used in estimation but never when OLS is employed. Copyright 1993 by American Finance Association.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 48 (1993)
Issue (Month): 4 (September)
Pages: 1445-55

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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:48:y:1993:i:4:p:1445-55

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Cited by:
  1. Tony Caporale & Barbara McKiernan, 1999. "Monetary policy shocks and interest rates: Further evidence on the liquidity effect," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 135(2), pages 306-316, June.
  2. Vilasuso, Jon, 1999. "The Liquidity Effect and the Operating Procedure of the Federal Reserve," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 443-461, July.
  3. Kevin B. Grier & Fausto Hernández-Trillo, 2004. "The real exchange rate process and its real effects: The cases of Mexico and the USA," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 1-25, May.
  4. Kevin B. Grier & Mark J. Perry, 2000. "The effects of real and nominal uncertainty on inflation and output growth: some garch-m evidence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1), pages 45-58.
  5. Benjamin Kim & Noor Ghazali, 1998. "The Liquidity Effect of Money Shocks on Short-Term Interest Rates: Some International Evidence," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 49-63.
  6. Caporale, Barbara & Caporale, Tony, 2008. "Political risk and the expectations hypothesis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 178-180, August.
  7. Caporale, Barbara & Caporale, Tony, 2003. "Investigating the effects of monetary regime shifts: The case of the Federal Reserve and the shrinking risk premium," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 87-91, July.
  8. Sturges, David M., 2000. "International bonds and the currency risk: How do macroshocks affect returns?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 351-373, October.
  9. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Aaron Tornell, 1996. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and Learning," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1771, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.

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