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Changes in Expected Security Returns, Risk, and the Level of Interest Rates

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Author Info
Ferson, Wayne E
Abstract

Regression of security returns on treasury bill rates provide insight about the behavior of risk in rational asset pricing models. The information in one-month bill rates implies time variation in the conditional covariances of portfolios of stocks and fixed-income securities with benchmark pricing variables over extended samples and within five-year subperiods. There is evidence of changes in conditional "betas" associated with interest rates. Consumption and stock market data are examined as proxies for marginal utility in a general framework for asset pricing with time-varying conditional covariances. Copyright 1989 by American Finance Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 44 (1989)
Issue (Month): 5 (December)
Pages: 1191-1217
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:5:p:1191-1217

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  1. Lo, Andrew W. (Andrew Wen-Chuan) & MacKinlay, Archie Craig, 1955-, 1992. "Maximizing predictability in the stock and bond markets," Working papers 3450-92., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Bruno Solnik, 1991. "Finance Theory and Investment Management," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 127(III), pages 303-324, September. [Downloadable!]
  3. Johansson, Anders C., 2009. "An Analysis Of Dynamic Risk In The Greater China Equity Markets," Working Paper Series 2009-5, China Economic Research Center, Stockholm School of Economics.
    Other versions:
  4. Mika Vaihekoski, 2007. "Global Market and Currency Risk in Finnish Stock Market," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 20(1), pages 72-88, Spring. [Downloadable!]
  5. Sandy Suardi & O.T.Henry & N. Olekalns, . "Equity Return and Short-Term Interest Rate Volatility: Level Effects and Asymmetric Dynamics," MRG Discussion Paper Series 0206, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Kenneth A. Froot, 1990. "Short Rates and Expected Asset Returns," NBER Working Papers 3247, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2004. "Conditional Betas," NBER Working Papers 10413, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Mark J. Flannery & Aris A. Protopapadakis, 2002. "Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(3), pages 751-782.
  9. Bruce N. Lehmann, 1992. "Notes on Dynamic Factor Pricing Models," NBER Working Papers 3677, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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