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The Resiliency of the High-Yield Bond Market: The LTV Default

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Author Info
Ma, Christopher K
Rao, Ramesh P
Peterson, Richard L
Abstract

This paper investigates the resiliency of the new-issue high-yield bond market by examining the changes in implied default rates of such bonds before and after the largest high-yield bond default, i.e., the LTV bankruptcy. Specifically, the paper compares implied default probabilities of high-yield bonds during the post-LTB period calculated from actual new-issue yields with instrumental default probabilities calculated on the assumption that the default had not occurred. A comparison of these probabilities reveals that the market's perception of default on the high-risk segment of the bond market increased significantly after the LTV bankruptcy. However, the effect was transitory, lasting only six months. Thus, the market was resilient to a major default. Copyright 1989 by American Finance Association.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 44 (1989)
Issue (Month): 4 (September)
Pages: 1085-97
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:4:p:1085-97

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  1. Richard Cantor & Frank Packer & Kevin Cole, 1997. "Split ratings and the pricing of credit risk," Research Paper 9711, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  2. Gabe de Bondt & David Marqués, 2004. "The high-yield segment of the corporate bond market: a diffusion modelling approach for the United States, the United Kingdom and the euro area," Working Paper Series 313, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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