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Recent Developments in Modelling Nonstationary Vector Autoregressions

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  • Terence C. Mills

Abstract

In this paper we review some recent developments in the modelling of nonstationary vector autoregressions (VARs) which we feel have great potential for furthering applied researchers understanding of the relationships linking the variables making up a VAR. The developments surveyed are the use of model determination criteria in selecting lag length, trend order and cointegrating rank, causality testing in vector error correction models, FM‐VAR estimation of levels VARS, common trends and cycles analysis, permanent and transitory decompositions, impulse response asymptotics, and the links between cointegrated VARs and structural models. The techniques are illustrated by applications to the modelling of U.K. equities, dividends and interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Terence C. Mills, 1998. "Recent Developments in Modelling Nonstationary Vector Autoregressions," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(3), pages 279-312, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:12:y:1998:i:3:p:279-312
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-6419.00057
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    Cited by:

    1. David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2005. "Evidence for common features in G7 macroeconomic time series," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 165-175.
    2. Haug, Alfred A. & Karagedikli, Ozer & Ranchhod, Satish, 2005. "Monetary policy transmission mechanisms and currency unions: A vector error correction approach to a Trans-Tasman currency union," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 55-74, February.
    3. Carlos Vieira, 2004. "The Deficit?Interest Rate Connection: an empirical assessment of the EU," Economics Working Papers 5_2004, University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal).
    4. Rosemary Rossiter, 2002. "Structural Cointegration Analysis of Private and Public Investment," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 1(1), pages 59-68, April.

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