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Time Varying Beta Risk: An Analysis of Alternative Modelling Techniques

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Author Info
Robert W. Faff (Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology, Australia,)
David Hillier
Joseph Hillier

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Abstract

This paper investigates the performance of three different approaches to modelling time-variation in conditional asset betas: GARCH models, the extended market model of Schwert and Seguin (1990) and the Kalman Filter algorithm. Using daily UK industry returns, we find the simple market model beta to be as efficient as the more complicated GARCH type models. However, the Kalman Filter algorithm incorporating a random walk parameterisation dominates all other models under the mean-square error criterion. Finally, we provide strong evidence that a combination of the methods under investigation may lead to considerably more powerful estimators of the time-variation in conditional beta. Copyright Blackwell Publishers Ltd 2000.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1468-5957.00324
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Business Finance & Accounting.

Volume (Year): 27 (2000-06)
Issue (Month): 5&6 ()
Pages: 523-554
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:27:y:2000-06:i:5&6:p:523-554

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  1. Charles S. Bos & Phillip Gould, 2007. "Dynamic Correlations and Optimal Hedge Ratios," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-025/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jan Bo Jakobsen & Torben Voetmann, 2003. "Post-acquisition performance in the short and long run. Evidence from the Copenhagen Stock Exchange 1993-1997," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 323-342, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Sascha Mergner & Jan Bulla, 2005. "Time-varying Beta Risk of Pan-European Industry Portfolios: A Comparison of Alternative Modeling Techniques," Finance 0510029, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Sascha Mergner, 2005. "Time-varying Beta Risk of Pan-European Sectors: A Comparison of Alternative Modeling Techniques," Finance 0509024, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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