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A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Treatment of the Ban on UK Beef Exports: A Note

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  • George Philippidis
  • Lionel Hubbard

Abstract

Hubbard and Philippidis Journal of Agricultural Economics (2001) Vol. 52, pp. 87-95] employ the standard Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to analyse the impact of the bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE)-induced ban on exports of UK beef. This note extends that study in four ways: (i) the dynamic GTAP model is employed to characterise long-run savings-investment behaviour more correctly; (ii) the effect of the foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak of 2001 is included; (iii) an allowance is made for different levels of recovery in consumer confidence; and (iv) the impact analysis is now compared through time with a 'no-ban' baseline. Long-run comparisons after removal of the ban suggest that its legacy may continue for some time. However, because of the remedial safeguards and assurances offered in the wake of the BSE and FMD crises, there is a possibility that exports and outputs increase. Nevertheless, the economy-wide impacts are negligible in both the short and the long run. Copyright 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Wiley Blackwell in its journal Journal of Agricultural Economics.

Volume (Year): 56 (2005)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 307-312

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Handle: RePEc:bla:jageco:v:56:y:2005:i:2:p:307-312

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0021-857X

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Cited by:
  1. Arnaud Rault & St├ęphane Krebs, 2011. "Catastrophic risk and risk management, what do we know about livestock epidemics? State of the art and prospects," Working Papers SMART - LERECO 201105, INRA UMR SMART.
  2. Gohin, Alexandre & Rault, Arnaud, 2013. "Assessing the economic costs of a foot and mouth disease outbreak on Brittany: A dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 97-107.
  3. Cassey, Andrew J. & Galinato, Suzette P. & Taylor, Justin L., 2012. "Environmental Regulation and Regional Economy: Economic Impacts of the Elimination of Azinphos-methyl on the Apple Industry and Washington State," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 43(2), July.
  4. Rault, Arnaud, 2012. "On the effectiveness of mutual funds to cope with lasting market risks: The case of FMD in Brittany," 126th Seminar, June 27-29, 2012, Capri, Italy 125994, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

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