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Using Discounted Cash Flow Analysis In An International Setting: A Survey Of Issues In Modeling The Cost Of Capital

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  • Tom Keck
  • Eric Levengood
  • AL Longfield
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    Abstract

    Based on the results of a recent survey of University of Chicago Graduate School of Business alumni, the authors of this article suggest that prevailing corporate practice in valuing overseas investments reflects a flawed understanding of finance theory. Although the survey finds that almost all respondents use the discounted cash flow (DCF) method in some fashion or another, there is significant variation both in the application of DCF and in the weighting that different groups assign to DCF in dealing with segmented markets. Of greater interest, the survey also shows that, as the complexity and uncertainty involved in valuation tasks increases, practitioners appear to place greater reliance on heuristics, or conventional rules of thumb. And in relying on heuristics as perceived risk increases, the authors warn, "people tend to become less consistent, less systematic, and less rigorous in the methods they use to measure and evaluate risk." 1998 Morgan Stanley.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Morgan Stanley in its journal Journal of Applied Corporate Finance.

    Volume (Year): 11 (1998)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 82-99

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    Handle: RePEc:bla:jacrfn:v:11:y:1998:i:3:p:82-99

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    Cited by:
    1. Rui Alpalhao & Paulo Alves, 2005. "The Portuguese equity risk premium: what we know and what we don't know," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 489-498.
    2. Durbin, Erik & Ng, David T.C., 2002. "The Sovereign Ceiling and Emerging Market Corporate Bond Spreads," Working Papers 127286, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    3. Koedijk, Kees G. & Kool, Clemens J. M. & Schotman, Peter C. & van Dijk, Mathijs A., 2002. "The cost of capital in international financial markets: local or global?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 905-929, November.
    4. Pereiro, Luis E., 2006. "The practice of investment valuation in emerging markets: Evidence from Argentina," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 160-183, April.
    5. Juan Jose Cruces & Marcos Buscaglia & Joaquin Alonso, 2002. "The Term Structure of Country Risk and Valuation in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 46, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Apr 2002.
    6. Andrade, Sandro C., 2009. "A model of asset pricing under country risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 671-695, June.
    7. Pereiro, Luis E., 2001. "The valuation of closely-held companies in Latin America," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 330-370, December.

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