Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Common Risk Factors Versus a Mispricing Factor of Tokyo Stock Exchange Firms: Inquiries into the Fundamental Value Derived from Analyst Earnings Forecasts-super-

Contents:

Author Info

  • KEIICHI KUBOTA
  • KAZUYUKI SUDA
  • HITOSHI TAKEHARA
Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    We search for common factors and/or a mispricing factor for Tokyo Stock Exchange firms. We utilize the Edwards-Bell-Ohlson model to compute the firms' fundamental value and divide this value by the firms' market price to construct a new variable called a 'value-to-price ratio' (VPR). We find that this VPR variable can generate abnormal returns even after adjusting for the risk factors related to portfolio style differences. To find out whether it is indeed a risk factor or simply a characteristic, we construct return difference portfolios of the high VPR stocks minus the low value-to-price stocks and call this portfolio the upward-forecast minus downward-forecast (UMD) factor. Fama and MacBeth test indicate that the risk premium for this UMD factor is positive. The best model in terms of the adjusted "R"-super-2 value is the four-factor model in which the UMD factor is added to the Fama and French three factors. GMM Euler condition tests reveal that the UMD factor helps to price assets and that the four-factor model is not rejected. We conclude the VPR variable contains new information content that is not contained in the conventional Fama and French's three factors. Copyright (c) 2009 The Authors. Journal compilation (c) International Review of Finance Ltd. 2009.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-2443.2009.01091.x
    File Function: link to full text
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by International Review of Finance Ltd. in its journal International Review of Finance.

    Volume (Year): 9 (2009)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 269-294

    as in new window
    Handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:9:y:2009:i:3:p:269-294

    Contact details of provider:
    Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=1369-412X

    Order Information:
    Web: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/subs.asp?ref=1369-412X

    Related research

    Keywords:

    References

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as in new window

    Cited by:
    1. Keiichi Kubota & Hitoshi Takehara, 2010. "Expected return, liquidity risk, and contrarian strategy: evidence from the Tokyo Stock Exchange," Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 36(8), pages 655-679, August.

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:9:y:2009:i:3:p:269-294. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Wiley-Blackwell Digital Licensing) or (Christopher F. Baum).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.