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Pure Contagion and Investors' Shifting Risk Appetite: Analytical Issues and Empirical Evidence

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Author Info
Kumar, Manmohan S
Persaud, Avinash
Abstract

This paper discusses a "pure" form of financial contagion, unrelated to economic fundamentals--investors' shifting appetite for risk. It provides an analytical framework for identifying changes in investors' risk appetite and discusses whether it is possible to directly measure them in a way that can enable policy makers to differentiate between financial contagion and domestic fundamentals as the immediate source of a crisis. Daily measures of risk appetite are computed and their usefulness in predicting financial crises is assessed. Copyright 2002 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd.

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal International Finance.

Volume (Year): 5 (2002)
Issue (Month): 3 (Winter)
Pages: 401-36
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Handle: RePEc:bla:intfin:v:5:y:2002:i:3:p:401-36

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  1. Victor Vaugirard, 2005. "Crony Capitalism and Sovereign Default," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 77-99, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Gai, Prasanna & Vause, Nicholas, 2005. "Measuring Investors' Risk Appetite," MPRA Paper 818, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  3. Marcello Pericoli & Massimo Sbracia, 2006. "The CAPM and the risk appetite index; theoretical differences and empirical similarities," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 586, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  4. Miroslav Misina, 2003. "What Does the Risk-Appetite Index Measure?," Working Papers 03-23, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  5. Laurence Fung & Chi-sang Tam & Ip-wing Yu, 2008. "Changes in Investors' Risk Appetite - An Assessment of Financial Integration and Interdependence," Working Papers 0812, Hong Kong Monetary Authority. [Downloadable!]
  6. Duasa, Jarita & Kassim, Salina, 2008. "Herd behaviour in Malaysian capital market: An empirical analysis," MPRA Paper 13303, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  7. David Hauner & Manmohan S. Kumar, 2005. "Financial Globalization and Fiscal Perfomance in Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 05/212, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Brenda González-Hermosillo, 2008. "Investors’ Risk Appetite and Global Financial Market Conditions," IMF Working Papers 08/85, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  9. Miroslav Misina, 2006. "Benchmark Index of Risk Appetite," Working Papers 06-16, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  10. Victor Vaugirard, 2004. "Bank runs, political distortions and contagion," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 6(18), pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
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