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Has the Transmission of Policy Rates to Lending Rates Changed in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis?

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  • Leonardo Gambacorta
  • Anamaria Illes
  • Marco Jacopo Lombardi

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="en"> Central banks of major advanced economies have maintained a very accommodative monetary policy stance in the last few years. However, concerns have surfaced that the transmission of low policy rates to lending rates has been weaker than in the past. Has the transmission of policy rates to lending rates been impaired by the global financial crisis? To answer this question, we first estimate standard cointegrating equations linking policy and lending rates for non-financial firms in Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and the United States. We then test for structural change in the cointegration parameters, finding strong evidence of a break after Lehman Brothers’ default. Such a structural break is owed to a strong increase in the mark-up of the lending rate over the policy rate that standard models assume constant in the long run. The structural shift is explained by compounding the lending rate equation with measures of risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Gambacorta & Anamaria Illes & Marco Jacopo Lombardi, 2015. "Has the Transmission of Policy Rates to Lending Rates Changed in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(3), pages 263-280, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:intfin:v:18:y:2015:i:3:p:263-280
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    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Blot & Fabien Labondance, 2021. "Beyond the Interest Rate Pass-through: Monetary Policy and Banks Interest Rates during the Effective Lower Bound," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-04221606, HAL.
    2. Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2022. "A banklevel analysis of interest rate passthrough in South Africa," Working Papers 11027, South African Reserve Bank.
    3. Zhong, Changbiao & Xie, Lijuan & Shi, Yu & Xu, Xiangyun, 2023. "Macro-prudential policy, its alignment with monetary policy and house price growth: A cross-country study," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 51-62.
    4. Isabella Moder, 2023. "The transmission of euro area monetary policy to financially euroized countries," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 718-751, November.
    5. Rory O'Farrell & Lukasz Rawdanowicz, 2017. "Monetary policy and inequality: Financial channels," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 174-188, June.
    6. Semyon Malamud & Andreas Schrimpf, 2016. "Intermediation Markups and Monetary Policy Passthrough," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 16-75, Swiss Finance Institute.
    7. Heinzelmann Ludwig & Missong Martin, 2020. "Nonlinear interest rate-setting behaviour of German commercial banks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-28, June.
    8. Kyriaki G. LouKa & Nektarios A. Michail, 2023. "The pass through of monetary policy to euro area bank interest rates," Working Papers 2023-2, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    9. Jiri Gregor & Jan Janku & Martin Melecky, 2022. "From Central Counter to Local Living: Pass-Through of Monetary Policy to Mortgage Lending Rates in Districts," Working Papers 2022/9, Czech National Bank.
    10. Horvath, Roman & Kotlebova, Jana & Siranova, Maria, 2018. "Interest rate pass-through in the euro area: Financial fragmentation, balance sheet policies and negative rates," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 12-21.
    11. Nguyen, Lan Thi Mai & Luu, Hiep Ngoc & Nguyen, Thao Thi Phuong, 2022. "The impact of interest rate policy on credit union lending during a crisis period," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    12. Jiří Gregor & Aleš Melecký & Martin Melecký, 2021. "Interest Rate Pass‐Through: A Meta‐Analysis Of The Literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(1), pages 141-191, February.
    13. David Knezevic & Martin Nordström & Pär Österholm, 2021. "The relation between municipal and government bond yields in an era of unconventional monetary policy," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(1), February.
    14. Machiel van Dijk & Andrei Dubovik, 2018. "Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on European Corporate Credit," CPB Discussion Paper 372.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    15. Domonkos, Tomas & Fisera, Boris & Siranova, Maria, 2023. "Income inequality as long-term conditioning factor of monetary transmission to bank rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    16. Kotz Hans-Helmut & Semmler Willi & Tahri Ibrahim, 2018. "Financial fragmentation and the monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area: a smooth transition VAR approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(5), pages 1-19, December.
    17. Kapuściński, Mariusz & Stanisławska, Ewa, 2018. "Measuring bank funding costs in the analysis of interest rate pass-through: Evidence from Poland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 288-300.
    18. Machiel van Dijk & Andrei Dubovik, 2018. "Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on European Corporate Credit," CPB Discussion Paper 372, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    19. Bradley Jones & Joel Bowman, 2019. "China's Evolving Monetary Policy Framework in International Context," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2019-11, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    20. Galindo, Arturo J. & Steiner, Roberto, 2022. "Asymmetric interest rate transmission in an inflation-targeting framework: The case of Colombia," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(3).
    21. Gregor, Jiří & Melecký, Martin, 2018. "The pass-through of monetary policy rate to lending rates: The role of macro-financial factors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 71-88.
    22. Dominika Ehrenbergerová & Martin Hodula & Zuzana Gric, 2022. "Does capital-based regulation affect bank pricing policy?," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 135-167, April.

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