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Trying to Make Sense of the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy since the Exit from Quantitative Easing

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Author Info
Kazuo Ueda

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Abstract

In this short note, I review the Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s monetary policy since its exit from the so-called quantitative easing regime early in 2006. The major characteristic of the policy stance during the period, called Strategy 2 below, has been to adjust the policy interest rate gradually upward in response to a healthy real economy despite stagnant behaviour in consumer prices. Such a policy stance can be contrasted with a hypothetical strategy, Strategy 1, whereby the BOJ would have kept the policy rate at lower levels, possibly at 0%, until inflation starts to show an upward trend more clearly. The two strategies are compared on many fronts with particular attention to well-known recent empirical regularities about inflation - a smaller response of inflation to output and larger uncertainties about the response. Various comparisons of the two strategies offered here, although far from conclusive, tend to support Strategy 1 over Strategy 2. In my discussion of the two strategies, I also comment on some of the major features of the Nishimura article in this issue. Copyright 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal International Finance.

Volume (Year): 10 (2007)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
Pages: 301-316
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Handle: RePEc:bla:intfin:v:10:y:2007:i:3:p:301-316

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  1. Kiyohiko G. Nishimura, 2007. "Increased Diversity and Deepened Uncertainty: Policy Challenges in a Zero-Inflation Economy," International Finance, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(3), pages 281-300, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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