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Out-of-Sample Predictability in International Equity Markets: A Model Selection Approach

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Author Info
Xiaojing Su
Tao Wang
Jian Yang
Abstract

For 13 major international stock markets, there is much evidence of out-of-sample predictability for growth stocks especially when evaluated with economic criteria, and to a noticeably lesser extent for general stock markets and value stocks. Our results shed light on the recent debate about stock return predictability, using different assets (growth-style indexes), forecasting variables (past returns), forecasting models (nonlinear models), and alternative forecasting evaluation criteria (economic criteria). Our analysis suggests that (growth) stock returns might be predictable. Copyright (c) 2009, The Eastern Finance Association.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1540-6288.2009.00230.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Eastern Finance Association in its journal Financial Review.

Volume (Year): 44 (2009)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 559-582
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Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:44:y:2009:i:4:p:559-582

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Web page: http://www.easternfinance.org/
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-18.


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