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The Conditional Beta and the Cross‐Section of Expected Returns

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  • Turan G. Bali
  • Nusret Cakici
  • Yi Tang

Abstract

We examine the cross‐sectional relation between conditional betas and expected stock returns for a sample period of July 1963 to December 2004. Our portfolio‐level analyses and the firm‐level cross‐sectional regressions indicate a positive, significant relation between conditional betas and the cross‐section of expected returns. The average return difference between high‐ and low‐beta portfolios ranges between 0.89% and 1.01% per month, depending on the time‐varying specification of conditional beta. After controlling for size, book‐to‐market, liquidity, and momentum, the positive relation between market beta and expected returns remains economically and statistically significant.

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  • Turan G. Bali & Nusret Cakici & Yi Tang, 2009. "The Conditional Beta and the Cross‐Section of Expected Returns," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 38(1), pages 103-137, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finmgt:v:38:y:2009:i:1:p:103-137
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1755-053X.2009.01030.x
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    2. Da, Zhi & Guo, Re-Jin & Jagannathan, Ravi, 2012. "CAPM for estimating the cost of equity capital: Interpreting the empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 204-220.
    3. John L. Glascock & Ran Lu-Andrews, 2018. "The Asymmetric Conditional Beta-Return Relations of REITs," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 231-245, August.
    4. Papavassiliou, Vassilios G., 2013. "A new method for estimating liquidity risk: Insights from a liquidity-adjusted CAPM framework," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 184-197.
    5. Das, Sudipta, 2015. "Empirical evidence of conditional asset pricing in the Indian stock market," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 225-239.

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