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Trade liberalization in the Doha Development Round

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Author Info
Joseph Francois
Hans van Meijl
Frank van Tongeren

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Abstract

"The Doha Round faced a long series of launch-delays and a spectacular launch-failure in Seattle in 1999. While the talks did take off in 2001, the negotiating agenda is still ambiguous in a number of crucial areas. This paper argues that these ambiguities matter greatly. Such ambiguities include the meaning of 'flexibility and exemptions', which are part of the evolving framework for market access negotiations. This may (or may not) be read as allowing developing countries to opt for much smaller concessions than those to be undertaken by the OECD, or even for no concessions. To explore these issues, we examine the impact of multilateral liberalization, developing possible trade liberalization under the Doha Round, starting from a realistic 'baseline' including Chinese WTO Accession and the 2004 EU enlargement. This allows us to focus on effects specifically attributable to trade liberalization under the Doha Round and the potential impact of the Doha Round itself. To this end we employ a global applied general equilibrium model, featuring imperfect competition and variety effects. Scenarios include agriculture, manufactures, and services liberalization, as well as trade facilitation. We conclude that active developing country participation in terms of market access concessions is critical to their prospects. If developing countries continue for the most part with business as usual after the round, in terms of trade policy, there is little scope for actual benefits accruing to developing countries. South-South trade liberalization is key to the 'development' part of the Doha Development Agenda." Copyright © CEPR, CES, MSH, 2005.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-0327.2005.00141.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by CEPR, CES, MSH in its journal Economic Policy.

Volume (Year): 20 (2005)
Issue (Month): 42 (04)
Pages: 349-391
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ecpoli:v:20:y:2005:i:42:p:349-391

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  1. Keith Walsh & Martina Brockmeier & Alan Matthews, 2005. "Implications of Domestic Support Disciplines for Further Agricultural Trade Liberalization," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp99, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
  2. Peter Verburg & Bas Eickhout & Hans Meijl, 2008. "A multi-scale, multi-model approach for analyzing the future dynamics of European land use," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 57-77, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Maria Berrittella & Katrin Rehdanz & Richard S.J. Tol & Jian Zhang, 2007. "The Impact Of Trade Liberalisation On Water Use: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers FNU-142, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Aug 2007. [Downloadable!]
  4. Edward Barbier & Michael Rauscher, 2007. "Trade and Development in a Labor Surplus Economy," Topics in Economic Analysis & Policy, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 7(1), pages 1665-1665. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Gabriel J. Felbermayr & Benjamin Jung, . "Sorting It Out: Technical Barriers to Trade and Industry Productivity," FIW Working Paper series 014, FIW. [Downloadable!]
  6. Shepherd, Ben & Wilson, John S., 2006. "Road infrastructure in Europe and Central Asia : does network quality affect trade ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4104, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  7. Anderson, Kym & Martin, Will & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2006. "Doha merchandise trade reform : what's at stake for developing countries ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3848, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Jeffrey Edwards & Frank Thames & Martin Edwards, 2006. "Measuring the Dissemination of Volatility across Levels of Development," Topics in Macroeconomics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 6(2), pages 1458-1458. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Hertel, Thomas W. & Keeney, Roman & Ivanic, Maros & Winters, L. Alan, 2006. "Distributional effects of WTO agricultural reforms in rich and poor countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4060, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Alan Matthews & Keith Walsh, 2005. "The Economic Consequences of the Doha Round for Ireland," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp107, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Alan Matthews & Keith Walsh, 2006. "The Doha Development Agenda: Mixed Prospects for Developing Countries," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp157, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
  12. Yann Duval, 2006. "Cost and Benefits of Implementing Trade Facilitation Measures under Negotiations at the WTO: an Exploratory Survey," Working Papers 306, Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade (ARTNeT), an initiative of UNESCAP and IDRC, Canada.. [Downloadable!]
  13. Kozo Kiyota & Robert Stern, 2007. "An Assessment of the Economic Effects of the Menu of U.S. Trade Policies," Global Economy Journal, International Trade and Finance Association, vol. 5(4), pages 22. [Downloadable!]
  14. Klaus Nowotny & Gerhard Palme, . "Fokus Ostintegration: Grenzüberschreitende Dienstleistungserbringung in die neuen EU Länder," FIW Research Reports series 6, FIW. [Downloadable!]
  15. Joseph F. Francois & Olga Pindyuk & Julia Woerz, . "Trade Effects of Services Trade Liberalization in the EU," FIW Research Reports series 4, FIW. [Downloadable!]
  16. Martin Falk & Yvonne Wolfmayr, . "The Impact of Outward FDI in Central and Eastern Europe on Employment in the EU-15 Countries," FIW Research Reports series 16, FIW. [Downloadable!]
  17. W. Altzinger, . "Österreichs Multinationalen Unternehmen (MNUs) und deren konzernexterner und - interner Handel," FIW Research Reports series 23, FIW. [Downloadable!]
  18. Julia Woerz & Olga Pindyuk, . "Trade in Services: Note on the Measurement and Quality of Data Sources," FIW Research Reports series 1, FIW. [Downloadable!]
  19. Sebastian Hess & Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel, 2007. "Assessing General and Partial Equilibrium Simulations of Doha Round Outcomes using Meta-Analysis," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research (cege) Discussion Papers 67, Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research, University of Goettingen (Germany).. [Downloadable!]
  20. George Verikios, 2006. "Understanding the World Wool Market: Trade, Productivity and Grower Incomes. Part 6: The Costs of Global Tariff Barriers on Wool Products; Conclusion," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 06-24, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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