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‘Riding on the Sheep’s Back’: Examining Australia’s Dependence on Wool Exports

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  • Paul Cashin
  • C. John McDermott

Abstract

This paper examines the influence of the wool export cycle on the business cycle in Australia over the period 1862–1995. Nonparametric statistical methods are used to examine various attributes of the relationship between the wool export cycle and the business cycle. Our results support the view that while the wool export cycle was in synchronisation with the business cycle prior to the First World War, after the War wool exports no longer played a dominant role in the evolution of the business cycle. In addition, while the wool export cycle became more volatile after the War, the business cycle became more stable.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Cashin & C. John McDermott, 2002. "‘Riding on the Sheep’s Back’: Examining Australia’s Dependence on Wool Exports," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 78(242), pages 249-263, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:78:y:2002:i:242:p:249-263
    DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.00055
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    Cited by:

    1. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95.
    2. Venables, Anthony J. & Maloney, William & Kokko, Ari & Bravo Ortega, Claudio & Lederman, Daniel & Rigobón, Roberto & De Gregorio, José & Czelusta, Jesse & Jayasuriya, Shamila A. & Blomström, Magnus & , 2007. "Natural Resources: Neither Curse nor Destiny," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 350, March.
    3. Viv B. Hall & C. John McDermott, 2007. "Regional business cycles in New Zealand: Do they exist? What might drive them?," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 86(2), pages 167-191, June.
    4. Adrian pagan & Don Harding, 2006. "The Econometric Analysis of Constructed Binary Time Series. Working paper #1," NCER Working Paper Series 1, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    5. Martin, Will, 2005. "Outgrowing resource dependence theory and some recent developments," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3482, The World Bank.
    6. Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2006. "The Econometric Analysis of Constructed Binary Time Series," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 963, The University of Melbourne.
    7. Helmut Franken & Guillermo Le Fort & Eric Parrado, 2006. "Business Cycle Responses and the Resilence of the Chilean Economy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Ricardo Caballero & César Calderón & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Sc (ed.),External Vulnerability and Preventive Policies, edition 1, volume 10, chapter 4, pages 071-108, Central Bank of Chile.
    8. Sambit Bhattacharyya & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 2011. "Commodity Price Shocks And The Australian Economy Since Federation," Australian Economic History Review, Economic History Society of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 51(2), pages 150-177, July.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • N57 - Economic History - - Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment and Extractive Industries - - - Africa; Oceania
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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