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Ageing, Optimal National Saving and Future Living Standards in Australia

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Author Info
Guest, Ross S
McDonald, Ian M

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Abstract

Making allowance for the ageing structure of the population, this paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving and future living ,standards for Australia for the period 1999-2050. For this period, the optimal saving response to the ageing of the Australian population is for national saving to increase from its current level by 2.7 per cent of GDP by the year 2017 and then to decline to the year 2050. The implied growth of living standards is 1.20 per cent per year. Reduced immigration would reduce the rate of growth of living standards but reduced fertility would not. Copyright 2001 by The Economic Society of Australia.

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Article provided by The Economic Society of Australia in its journal The Economic Record.

Volume (Year): 77 (2001)
Issue (Month): 237 (June)
Pages: 117-34
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:77:y:2001:i:237:p:117-34

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  1. Guest, R.S. & McDonald, I.M., 2004. "Demographic Transition and Optimal Saving in Four Asian Countries," Economic Analysis and Policy (EAP), Queensland University of Technology (QUT), School of Economics and Finance, vol. 34(1), pages 1-13, March. [Downloadable!]
  2. George Hondroyiannis, 2009. "Fertility Determinants and Economic Uncertainty:An Assessment Using European Panel Data," Working Papers 96, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gustav Feichtinger & Alexia Prskawetz & Vladimir M. Veliov, 2002. "Age-structured optimal control in population economics," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2002-045, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ross S. Guest & Ian M. McDonald, 2007. "Other-regarding Uzawa Preferences and Living Standard Catch-up," DEGIT Conference Papers c012_034, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jocelyn Horne, 2001. "The Current Account Debate in Australia: Changing Policy Perspectives," Research Papers 0111, Macquarie University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. John Freebairn, 2007. "Some Policy Issues in Providing Retirement Incomes," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2007n06, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
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