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Key Features of New Zealand Business Cycles

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Author Info
Kim, Kunhong
Buckle, R A
Hall, V B

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Abstract

By international standards, New Zealand's recent business cycle fluctuations have been exceptionally volatile. Fluctuations in central government and private fixed investment expenditure, the real net exports share, the terms of trade, and interest rates have also been particularly volatile. Many bivariate relationships change markedly over time but 'real variable regularity' is confirmed. Fluctuations in government purchases have been acyclical. The real net exports share has been countercyclical overall but procyclical most recently. Domestic price fluctuations have been basically countercyclical. The scale of changes over the past decade continues to present difficulties for establishing credible financial and open economy regularities. Copyright 1994 by The Economic Society of Australia.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by The Economic Society of Australia in its journal The Economic Record.

Volume (Year): 70 (1994)
Issue (Month): 208 (March)
Pages: 56-73
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:70:y:1994:i:208:p:56-73

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  1. J. J. Reeves & C. A. Blyth & C. M. Triggs & J. P. Small, . "The Hodrick-Prescott Filter, a Generalisation, and a New Procedure for Extracting an Empirical Cycle from a Series," Reports 9602, University of Auckland, Department of Economics.
  2. Viv Hall & C. John McDermott, 2004. "Regional business cycles in New Zealand: Do they exist? What might drive them?," Working Papers 04_10, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 1999. "Dissecting the Cycle," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp1999n13, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
  4. Sharon McCaw, 2007. "Stylised facts about New Zealand business cycles," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
  5. Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2000. "Disecting the Cycle: A Methodological Investigation," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1164, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 1999. "Knowing the Cycle," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp1999n12, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
  7. Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Working Papers 05-2009, Singapore Management University, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  8. David Backus & Patrick J. Kehoe & Finn E. Kydland, 1993. "International Business Cycles: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 4493, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Robert A Buckle & David Haugh & Peter Thomson, 2002. "Growth and volatility regime switching models for New Zealand GDP data," Treasury Working Paper Series 02/08, New Zealand Treasury. [Downloadable!]
  10. Felicity C Barker & Robert A Buckle & Robert W St Clair, 2008. "Roles of Fiscal Policy in New Zealand," Treasury Working Paper Series 08/02, New Zealand Treasury. [Downloadable!]
  11. Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2008. "Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Economic Growth centre Working Paper Series 0802, Nanyang Technolgical University, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Economic Growth centre. [Downloadable!]
  12. Robert A Buckle & Kunhong Kim & Heather Kirkham & Nathan McLellan & Jared Sharma, 2002. "A structural VAR model of the New Zealand business cycle," Treasury Working Paper Series 02/26, New Zealand Treasury. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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