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A Test of Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity Allowing for Structural Breaks

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Author Info
Corbae, Dean
Ouliaris, Sam

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Abstract

If exchange rates and prices are integrated processes, standard econometric tests of the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis may be biased toward rejection. This paper avoids this problem by using the Engle and Granger (1987) theory of cointegrated processes. If the absolute version of purchasing power parity it true, and nominal exchange rates and prices are integrated processes, intercommodity arbitrage should ensure that the real exchange rate is stationary. The stationarity hypothesis is tested using Australian real exchange rate data for the 1890-1984 period. We find that the effective real exchange rate cannot be modelled as a stationary process and therefore reject the absolute version of PPP. We also employ a test for structural breaks due to, for instance, the oil price shock and find mixed results. Another interpretation of our results is that the real exchange rate was affected by a series of permanent, real shocks during the sample period. Copyright 1991 by The Economic Society of Australia.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by The Economic Society of Australia in its journal The Economic Record.

Volume (Year): 67 (1991)
Issue (Month): 196 (March)
Pages: 26-33
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:67:y:1991:i:196:p:26-33

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  1. Antonio E. Noriega & Lorena Medina, 2003. "Quasi purchasing power parity: Structural change in the Mexican peso/us dollar real exchange rate," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 18(2), pages 227-236. [Downloadable!]
  2. Angelos Kanas, 2009. "Real exchange rate, stationarity, and economic fundamentals," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 393-409, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Amalia Morales Zumaquero, 2002. "Purchasing Power Parity By sectors From Selected European Countries: Cointegration and Structural Breaks," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 16(4), pages 107-119, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. María Gadea & Marcela Sabaté, 2004. "The European Periphery in the Era of the Gold Standard: The Case of the Spanish Peseta and the Pound Sterling from 1883 to 1931," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 63-85, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Kian-Ping Lim & Evan Lau & Chee-Keong Choong, 2003. "Exchange Rate – Relative Price Relationship: Nonlinear Evidence from Malaysia," International Finance 0311014, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Josep LluÍs Carrion-I-Silvestre & Tomás Del Barrio & Enrique López-Bazo, 2004. "Evidence on the purchasing power parity in a panel of cities," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(9), pages 961-966, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Abera Gelan, 2006. "Testing the PPP in the non-linear STAR Framework: Evidence from Africa," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 6(17), pages 1-15. [Downloadable!]
  8. Kausik Chaudhuri & Jeffrey Sheen, . "Purchasing Power Parity Across States and Goods Within Australia," Working Papers 2001-2, University of Sydney, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Josep Carrion-i-Silvestre & Andreu Sansó, 2006. "A guide to the computation of stationarity tests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 433-448, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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