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How Reliable Are ORAN I Conclusions?

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Author Info
Pagan, A R
Shannon, J H

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Abstract

This paper seeks to systematically review the main criticisms of the ORANI model by dev eloping a graphical version of a two-sector (exportables and nonexpor tables) miniature ORANI model. This model shows that ORANI results oc cur because while supply curves in both sectors have similar slopes, the slopes of the demand curves are polar opposites. Furthermore, res ults tend to be more sensitive to variations in supply rather than de mand parameters. Experiments using the ORANI model itself verified th ese findings. Some form of sensitivity analysis with respect to assig ned parameter values should form an integral part of any ORANI experi ment. Copyright 1987 by The Economic Society of Australia.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by The Economic Society of Australia in its journal The Economic Record.

Volume (Year): 63 (1987)
Issue (Month): 180 (March)
Pages: 33-45
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Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:63:y:1987:i:180:p:33-45

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  1. George Verikios, 2004. "A Model of the World Wool Market," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 04-24, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. ABDELKHALEK, Touhami & DUFOUR, Jean-Marie, 1997. "Statistical Inference for Computable General Equilibrium Models with Application to a Model of the Moroccan Economy," Cahiers de recherche 9713, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Michael Malakellis & Matthew Peter, 1991. "Stimulation of Employment in Neo-Classical Models," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers ip-49, Monash University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre. [Downloadable!]
  4. Thomas Hertel & David Hummels & Maros Ivanic & Roman Keeney, 2004. "How Confident Can We Be in CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements?," NBER Working Papers 10477, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. T. Kesavan & Frederick Roche & Ehmbang Adinugroho, 1993. "Sensitivity of Yield and Input Demand Elasticities for Wetland Rice in Java," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 111-126, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-28.


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